arXiv AI

AutoCluster, AutoTopicModeling, AutoTrendAnalysis: A Complete AutoML Pipeline for Predicting Emerging Trends

arXiv:2607. 22641v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Predicting emerging trends is vital for businesses, researchers, and policymakers; yet traditional approaches often lack scalability and adaptability.

arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 18

Macroeconomic Forecasting with Large Language Models

arXiv:2407. 00890v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper presents a comparative analysis evaluating the accuracy of Large Language Models (LLMs) against traditional macro time series forecasting approaches.

By Andrea Carriero, Davide Pettenuzzo, Shubhranshu Shekhar
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 28

Foundation Models and Fine-Tuning: Toward a New Generation of Models for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2607. 23146v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Inspired by recent breakthroughs in large language models for natural language processing, foundation models have emerged as a promising paradigm for zero-shot time series forecasting, enabling accurate predictions on datasets never seen during pre-training.

By Morad Laglil, Bertrand Pracca, Emilie Devijver, Eric Gaussier
arXiv AI
Aug 10

Seeking SOTA: Time-Series Forecasting Must Adopt Taxonomy-Specific Evaluation to Dispel Illusory Gains

arXiv:2603. 15506v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We argue that the current practice of evaluating AI/ML time-series forecasting models, predominantly on benchmarks characterized by strong, persistent periodicities and seasonalities, obscures real progress by overlooking the performance of efficient classical methods.

By Raeid Saqur, Christoph Bergmeir, Blanka Horvath, Daniel Schmidt, Frank Rudzicz, Terry Lyons
arXiv AI
6d ago

Segment-Level Agentic Topic Modeling for Improved Data Exploration and Resource Efficiency

The paper introduces SeLATM, a framework that improves topic modeling by generating topics at the segment level and refining them through agentic feedback loops. This approach addresses limitations of LLM-based topic assignment methods, such as the inability to produce topic distributions, overly broad or narrow topics, and high resource consumption. Experiments on multiple datasets show that SeLATM reduces LLM resource usage while maintaining superior performance.

By Myeongjun Erik Jang, Antonios Georgiadis, Sae Young Moon, Fran Silavong