arXiv AI

AutoCluster, AutoTopicModeling, AutoTrendAnalysis: A Complete AutoML Pipeline for Predicting Emerging Trends

arXiv:2607. 22641v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Predicting emerging trends is vital for businesses, researchers, and policymakers; yet traditional approaches often lack scalability and adaptability.

arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Macroeconomic Forecasting with Large Language Models

arXiv:2407. 00890v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper presents a comparative analysis evaluating the accuracy of Large Language Models (LLMs) against traditional macro time series forecasting approaches.

By Andrea Carriero, Davide Pettenuzzo, Shubhranshu Shekhar
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 28

Foundation Models and Fine-Tuning: Toward a New Generation of Models for Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2607. 23146v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Inspired by recent breakthroughs in large language models for natural language processing, foundation models have emerged as a promising paradigm for zero-shot time series forecasting, enabling accurate predictions on datasets never seen during pre-training.

By Morad Laglil, Bertrand Pracca, Emilie Devijver, Eric Gaussier
arXiv AI
Aug 10

Seeking SOTA: Time-Series Forecasting Must Adopt Taxonomy-Specific Evaluation to Dispel Illusory Gains

arXiv:2603. 15506v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We argue that the current practice of evaluating AI/ML time-series forecasting models, predominantly on benchmarks characterized by strong, persistent periodicities and seasonalities, obscures real progress by overlooking the performance of efficient classical methods.

By Raeid Saqur, Christoph Bergmeir, Blanka Horvath, Daniel Schmidt, Frank Rudzicz, Terry Lyons
arXiv Machine Learning
5d ago

AI-Driven Multiscenario Interest Rate Forecasting: A Proof of Concept for Banking Asset Management

arXiv:2608. 12424v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This study focuses on developing an AI-supported prototype for multiperspective interest rate forecasting that combines classical econometric models with modern artificial intel-ligence methods.

By Ekkehardt Bauer, Dirk Holl\"ander, Linus Wolff, Christoph Ostermair, Kyrillus Aiad, Joachim Hasebrook
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

Benchmark Datasets for Lead-Lag Forecasting on Social Platforms

arXiv:2511. 03877v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Social and collaborative platforms emit multivariate time-series traces in which early interactions -- such as views, likes, or downloads -- are followed, sometimes months or years later, by higher impact like citations, sales, or reviews.

By Kimia Kazemian (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), Zhenzhen Liu (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), Yangfanyu Yang (Department of Information Science, Cornell University), Katie Luo (Department of Computer Science, Stanford University), Shuhan Gu (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), Audrey Du (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), Xinyu Yang (Department of Information Science, Cornell University), Jack Jansons (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), Kilian Q. Weinberger (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), John Thickstun (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), Yian Yin (Department of Information Science, Cornell University), Sarah Dean (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University)