arXiv AI

Joint Causal Structure and Cluster Discovery Using Variational Inference

The paper introduces a variational inference framework that jointly discovers latent clusters of variables and the causal relationships among those clusters. It models clusters with categorical distributions and graph structures with Bernoulli distributions, deriving variational lower bounds and estimation techniques for learning both cluster assignments and causal links. The method’s effectiveness is shown on synthetic and real datasets.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 10

Structure Learning on Clustered Data

arXiv:2607. 08238v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent algorithmic advances have made directed acyclic graph (DAG) structure learning scalable for causal discovery.

By Ryan Thompson, Matt P. Wand, Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani
arXiv Statistics ML
Aug 25

Neuro-Causal Factor Analysis

Neuro-Causal Factor Analysis (NCFA) reimagines traditional factor analysis by integrating causal structure learning and deep generative modeling. The method learns a directed graph linking latent and observed variables, then trains a deep generative model that respects the graph’s Markov factorization. Experiments on synthetic and real datasets show NCFA achieves lower reconstruction error than standard FA and better latent distribution recovery than a variational autoencoder, while offering a sparser architecture, reduced complexity, and causal interpretability.

By Alex Markham, Mingyu Liu, Bryon Aragam, Liam Solus
arXiv AI
Jul 14

CDFM: Towards a General-Purpose Causal Discovery Foundation Model

arXiv:2607. 11508v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery, the process of recovering underlying causal structures from observational data, is a fundamental pursuit across scientific disciplines.

By Jie Qiao, Ruichu Cai, Zijian Li, Weilin Chen, Pengfei Hua, Boyan Xu, Zhengming Chen, Zhifeng Hao, Peng Cui
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Causal Inference with Unobserved Confounding: A Mixture Learning Perspective

The paper introduces a mixture‑learning framework for causal inference with unobserved confounding, treating latent confounders as sources of heterogeneity that create mixture structures in observed data. By assuming suitable structural and identifiability conditions, it shows that recovering the mixing distribution and component mechanisms allows estimation of interventional distributions and causal estimands. The authors illustrate the approach with Bernoulli mixture examples, extend it to high‑dimensional exponential‑family mixtures with dependent outcomes, and relate it to panel‑data settings, latent factor models, and synthetic interventions.

By Mansi Sood, Devavrat Shah