arXiv Machine Learning

Identifying Structural Biases from Causal Mechanism Shifts

arXiv:2606. 18834v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery methods commonly assume that all data is independently and identically distributed (i.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 22

Local Causal Structure Learning in the Presence of Latent Variables and Selection Bias

Discovering the direct causes and effects of a target variable from observational data is a fundamental problem in causal discovery, with broad applications in domains such as gene regulatory analysis and biomedical research. Existing causal discovery methods either learn a global causal structure, which incurs substantial computational cost, or assume the absence of latent variables and selection bias, assumptions that are often violated in real-world settings.

arXiv AI
Jul 14

CDFM: Towards a General-Purpose Causal Discovery Foundation Model

arXiv:2607. 11508v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery, the process of recovering underlying causal structures from observational data, is a fundamental pursuit across scientific disciplines.

By Jie Qiao, Ruichu Cai, Zijian Li, Weilin Chen, Pengfei Hua, Boyan Xu, Zhengming Chen, Zhifeng Hao, Peng Cui
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 10

CausalArena: Benchmarking Causal Discovery in the Foundation Model Era

CausalArena is a unified, evolvable benchmark designed to evaluate causal discovery methods across diverse structural causal models (SCMs). It incorporates synthetic SCMs for controlled structural variation, semantic operational SCMs for human-auditable environments, and formula-grounded SCMs to test discovery under explicit scientific mechanisms, along with real-world datasets for external validity. Experiments show that performance rankings vary significantly across SCM families and protocols, indicating that strong results on one benchmark do not generalize to others, especially in the context of causal discovery foundation models.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 19

Unsupervised Causal Abstractions Discovery

arXiv:2606. 19594v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal abstractions formalize when a high-level structural causal model (SCM) captures the interventional behavior of a lower-level SCM.

By Th\'eo Saulus, Simon Lacoste-Julien, Dhanya Sridhar
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

CausalArena: Benchmarking Causal Discovery in the Foundation Model Era

CausalArena is a new benchmark designed to evaluate causal discovery methods in the era of foundation models. It unifies synthetic structural causal models (SCMs), semantically grounded SCMs, and formula‑grounded SCMs, while also including real‑world datasets for external validation. Experiments show that performance rankings vary widely across different SCM families and protocols, indicating that strong results on one benchmark do not necessarily transfer to others.

By Zi-Rong Li, Si-Yang Liu, Tian-Zuo Wang, Han-Jia Ye
arXiv AI
Sep 7

Beyond Stationarity in Time Series: Discovering Causal Structures and Latent Regimes via Markov Blankets

The paper presents RCBNB-MB, a causal discovery algorithm that relaxes the assumption of a single, time‑consistent causal structure in time series. It identifies latent causal regimes—subsets of time points where a stable causal graph holds—and iteratively segments the series to recover both regime transitions and the corresponding causal graphs using Markov blankets. The authors provide theoretical guarantees and demonstrate through simulations and real IT monitoring data that RCBNB-MB outperforms baseline methods in detecting regime changes and their causal structures.

By Lei Zan, Charles K. Assaad, Emilie Devijver, Eric Gaussier
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Decoupled Causal Discovery

arXiv:2609.23535v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal discovery from observational data is a fundamental yet challenging task in scientific research. While existing approaches are primarily based on...

By Zhengkang Guan, Fei Wu, Kun Kuang
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

Concept Drift from a Causal Perspective

The paper introduces a causal framework for concept drift, using Structural Causal Models to classify drift events by their causal origin—exogenous variables, endogenous mechanisms, confounders, and target-generating processes. It presents an SCM-based data stream generator that simulates controlled mechanism-level drift, and empirically shows that different causal origins produce distinct distribution shifts and predictive behaviors. By integrating causal discovery, the authors create realistic data streams that improve downstream performance and provide a foundation for causally-aware evaluation in non‑stationary settings.

By Eduardo V. L. Barboza, Jean Paul Barddal, Robert Sabourin, Rafael M. O. Cruz