arXiv Machine Learning

Annealed Entropic Allocation for Ranking and Selection

arXiv:2606. 11347v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose Annealed Entropic Allocation, an annealed weighted soft-min framework for sequential budget allocation in ranking and selection.

arXiv AI
Jul 23

Long-Term Sequential Decision Making under Risk

arXiv:2607. 19914v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study finite-horizon MDP planning under \emph{root-based} (resolute) risk objectives that apply a rank-dependent functional to the distribution of total returns.

By Irmaan (Mohammad), Mirzanejad, Nadjet Bourdache, Abdel-Illah Mouaddib
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 28

Sequential Additivity in Distributionally Robust Ranking and Selection

The paper studies distributionally robust ranking and selection (DRR&S), where the goal is to identify the best alternative under input uncertainty by considering multiple plausible input distributions. It introduces the concept of sequential additivity, showing that efficient sampling should focus on a small, additive set of critical scenarios rather than a multiplicative number. The authors prove an algorithm‑independent lower bound on sampling, design an additive allocation (AA) procedure that meets this bound and achieves exponentially decreasing error probability, and extend the approach to a general additive allocation (GAA) framework that incorporates traditional R&S sampling rules.

By Zaile Li, Yuchen Wan, L. Jeff Hong
arXiv Statistics ML
Sep 7

Optimal Stratified Allocation for Rare-Event Onset Forecasting in Dependent Sequences

The paper derives the exact finite‑population variance of a weighted risk estimator for rare‑event forecasting in dependent sequences and solves for the optimal stratified allocation of a small subsample. It shows that the optimal allocation is equal across strata, independent of the imbalance ratio, and provides a parameter‑free efficiency prediction A(π,f). The authors validate these theoretical predictions on a real‑world dataset of U.S. equities, demonstrating that the predicted ordering of sampling designs matches empirical results.

By Jaskaran Singh
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 21

Reinforcement Learning-Guided NSGA-II Enhanced with Gray Relational Coefficient for Multi-Objective Optimization: Application to NASDAQ Portfolio Optimization

arXiv:2607. 16194v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In modern financial markets, decision-makers increasingly rely on quantitative methods to navigate complex trade-offs among multiple, often conflicting objectives.

By Zhiyuan Wang, Qinxu Ding, Ding Ding, Siying Zhu, Jing Ren, Yue Wang, Chong Hui Tan
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 15

A Complexity Measure for Active Learning in Multi-group Mean Estimation

arXiv:2606. 14690v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study a \emph{max-risk} objective for active learning in a multi-group mean estimation $d$-armed bandits: a learner adaptively allocates a budget of $T$ samples across $d$ groups to minimize the worst-case uncertainty index $\max_{k\in[d]}\sigma_k^2/n_k$, where $\sigma_k$ is the standard deviation of the distribution of arm $d$, and $n_k$ is the number of times arm $d$ is sampled.

By Abdellah Aznag, Rachel Cummings, Adam N. Elmachtoub
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Leveraging Inference-Time Compute for Diffusion Models via Global Scheduling of Denoising Trajectories

The paper studies how to allocate a fixed computational budget across the denoising steps of diffusion models to improve sample quality at deployment. It shows that the expected benefit of evaluating multiple candidates at a step can be decomposed into a step‑specific sensitivity and a universal sample‑size factor, and that the optimal allocation follows a water‑filling structure. Experiments demonstrate that this allocation achieves the same quality as a uniform strategy while reducing function evaluations by 20–50%.

By Yuan Cao, Yifu Tang, Hangqi Li, Zeyu Zheng