arXiv Machine Learning

An Interaction-Aware Decision Framework for FDIC-Assisted Distressed Bank Acquisitions: Empirical Evidence from the FDIC Failed-Bank Panel and the SVB-First Citizens Case

The paper introduces the Spider Network Filtering Framework, an interaction‑aware decision model for FDIC‑assisted distressed bank acquisitions. It encodes dependencies among five dimensions—acquisition value, regulatory protection, risk, buyer strength, and execution difficulty—into four interpretable rules, producing graph‑inspired features for a logistic model and a Pursue/Caution/Avoid decision rule. Evaluated on 55 FDIC‑assisted acquisitions from 2008‑2024, the Spider‑enhanced model achieves a mean AUC of 0.594, slightly lower than logistic (0.615) and ridge (0.632) regressions, and permutation tests show only weak evidence of performance above chance.

arXiv AI
1d ago

The Harness Is the Model: Agent Scaffolding Changes a Fixed LLM's Compliance with Banking Conduct Rules, Unevenly Across Models

The study examines how different harness configurations affect a fixed large language model’s compliance with banking conduct rules. Four open‑weight models were tested across five harnesses on 156 pre‑registered retail‑banking scenarios, yielding 3,120 two‑turn episodes scored for rule violations and over‑refusals. Results show that while overall compliance rates varied modestly (87.3%–92.1%), the impact of a harness differed markedly between models, with some models’ best and worst harnesses differing by over 10 percentage points and a same‑model compliance reviewer reducing violations from 9.6% to 6.4%. whyItMatters":"The findings suggest that validating a model’s compliance requires testing the specific model‑harness pair rather than the model alone, highlighting the importance of action logs over conversation transcripts for accurate conduct assessment."

By Mehmet Murat Huyut
arXiv Computation and Language
Aug 27

FinRiskAtlas: Decision-Aligned Evaluation of Large Language Models for Financial Risk Review

FinRiskAtlas is a Chinese-language benchmark designed to evaluate large language models (LLMs) for financial risk review by focusing on decision‑aligned tasks rather than generic financial knowledge. It contains 9,742 instances across 53 task families, including 42 domain‑knowledge families and 11 downstream review operations defined by explicit evaluation contracts. The extended FinRisk‑Ask framework replays 680 pre‑action states from 104 professional trajectories, withholding future evidence during inference to assess evidence‑state control and request targeting. Results across 33 model configurations show that operation‑level evaluation yields distinct rankings and that knowledge‑based shortlisting can incur significant regret, while frequent use of the Ask branch does not necessarily improve evidence acquisition, highlighting gaps in broad financial capability scores.

By Suyang Zhong, Jingzhe Zhu, Qi Xu, Liyao Sun, Yin Wang, Qingqing Sun, Shuai Chen, Tianyi Zhang
arXiv AI
Oct 15

FinRED: An Expert-Guided Benchmark Generation and Evaluation Framework for Financial LLM Red-Teaming

FinRED is an expert‑guided framework for generating and evaluating financial LLM red‑teaming tests. It maps global financial standards to specific threats, converts real documents into context‑rich prompts, and offers a validated rubric that reduces false negatives. The framework is deployed in South Korea’s Financial Security Institute sandbox and is gated for qualified researchers.

By Daeyoung Park, Chaeyun Kim, Junghwan Kim, Jinyoung Jeong, Eunji Song, Yongtaek Lim, Minwoo Kim
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 22

The Data Differentiator Framework (DDF): Quantifying Marginal Data Value with Information-Theoretic and Game-Theoretic Measures in an Agentic Evaluation Pipeline (SDSAE)

The Data Differentiator Framework (DDF) is a composite scoring method that evaluates candidate data assets by combining a mutual‑information redundancy penalty, a cost‑normalized marginal utility score from an ablation study, and explicit governance inputs such as trust and strategic weights. It is executed through the Strategic Data Sourcing Agent Ecosystem (SDSAE), which bypasses costly model retraining for assets that fail governance or redundancy checks. In a credit‑card fraud benchmark, only the genuinely differentiated asset passed the significance gate and received an acquisition recommendation, while a fully redundant asset scored lowest.

By Sukesh Kumar, Dilip Singh
arXiv AI
Aug 19

Communicating Credit Risk with Large Language Models: Evaluation of Explanations from Standard and Alternative Data-Based Models

The study investigates whether Large Language Models (LLMs) can translate technical explanations from credit risk models into stakeholder-friendly narratives. Using Freddie Mac loan data, the authors compare standard tabular models (XGBoost + SHAP) with alternative data pipelines (GNN + GNNExplainer and a bimodal mix) and generate explanations with three LLM configurations: a small fine‑tuned Gemma 3 4B, a large fine‑tuned DeepSeek R1 70B, and a zero‑shot Gemini 2.5. Findings show that the quality of explanations is more dependent on the evidence representation than on the LLM, that narratives reliably identify influential factors but are less consistent about the direction of influence, and that credit professionals demand higher evidentiary standards than non‑professionals.

By Sahab Zandi, Noah Kostesku, Christophe Mues, Mar\'ia \'Oskarsd\'ottir, Cristi\'an Bravo
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 12

Observational Policy Ranking for SMB Financial Guidance from Multi-Action Accounting Logs

arXiv:2608. 10050v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Small and medium-sized businesses need timely financial guidance, yet historical accounting logs record self-selected and often co-occurring business changes rather than randomized recommendations.

By Shrutendra Harsola, Vignesh Subrahmaniam, Vikas Raturi, Kamalika Das, Xiang Gao, Kratika Gupta, Ruocheng Guo, Padmaja Jonnalagedda, Ananya Pramod, Sricharan Kumar