arXiv AI

Can We Trust This Evaluation? Instance-Level Reliability of LLM-as-a-Judge

arXiv AI
1d ago

AGORA: Reliability-Aware Aggregation of LLM Judges via Item-Response Theory

AGORA is an item‑response‑theory aggregator that improves the reliability of large language model judges by learning each judge’s sensitivity and rating thresholds from all items jointly, without needing human labels. It places every item on a latent quality scale, allowing judge reliability to be inferred from the data itself. Across three benchmarks, AGORA matches or surpasses the Dawid‑Skene method, especially when evaluation sets are small or judge pools are uneven.

By Junhyung Ahn
arXiv AI
Sep 28

Accounting for Bias Enables Sustainable LLM Evaluation

The paper argues that the current LLM-as-a-judge evaluation method, which compensates for systematic measurement bias by increasing the number of comparisons, is statistically unsound and computationally wasteful. It identifies that treating LLM judges as neutral ignores documented biases such as position bias, verbosity bias, judge severity, and self‑enhancement. The authors propose a unified latent variable framework that jointly models pairwise and ordinal data while explicitly correcting for these confounders, enabling reliable rankings with far fewer comparisons and negligible additional compute.

By Harshita Katoch, David Antony Selby, Gerrit Gro{\ss}mann, Sebastian Vollmer
arXiv AI
Jun 2

STABLEVAL: Disagreement-Aware and Stable Evaluation of AI Systems

arXiv:2605. 02122v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Human evaluation remains the primary standard for assessing modern AI systems, yet annotator disagreement, bias, and variability make system rankings fragile under standard majority vote aggregation.

By Akash Bonagiri, Gerard Janno Anderias, Saee Patil, Angelina Lai, Devang Borkar, Gezheng Kang, Ishant Gandhi, Setareh Rafatirad, Houman Homayoun
arXiv AI
Oct 9

All Verdicts are Not Equal: Rethinking LLM Judge Reliability

The paper audits the reliability of large language models used as judges in NLP evaluation. It stresses that verdicts can vary across identical replications, change with presentation order, and that even the most deterministic model only agrees with ground truth 51% of the time. The authors introduce the trustworthy verdict rate (T) to quantify reproducibility, order‑invariance, and accuracy, and show that holistic rubric scoring improves trustworthiness more than any single prompting strategy.

By Vineet Kumar, Darshita Rathore, Anindya Moitra
arXiv AI
Oct 16

A Jury, Not an Electorate: Label-Free Reliability Estimation for Ensembles of Language Models

The paper proposes treating an ensemble of language models as a jury rather than an electorate, where each model’s reliability is inferred from patterns of agreement and disagreement without using labels. Using Expectation Maximisation, the authors estimate each expert’s latent reliability and derive a log‑odds weighted linear scoring rule. On a 1560‑question benchmark, this label‑free approach matches the performance of label‑fitted weights and surpasses the best single model and other label‑free alternatives.

By Alessandro Rozza, Davide Mambelli, Steven Motta, Juri Taresch
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 18

Judge, Retrieve, or Abstain: Uncertainty-Guarded LLM Judging with Provable Risk Guarantees

The paper introduces a risk‑controlled framework for using large language models (LLMs) as judges in tasks without reference answers. By calibrating uncertainty thresholds on a held‑out set, the method ensures that the false discovery rate of accepted verdicts stays below a user‑specified level α with high probability, using finite‑sample Clopper–Pearson intervals. When the parametric judge lacks confidence, the instance is routed to a retrieval‑augmented mode with a second calibrated threshold, preserving the error guarantee while achieving higher coverage than single‑mode baselines.