The following motif is common in spatiotemporal settings: we have a sequence of covariate and label pairs observed for a relatively short, recent time period. We have access to unlabeled covariates ov...
arXiv:2606. 13119v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Spatio-Temporal forecasting is crucial in diverse fields, such as transportation, climate, and energy.
By Lilan Peng, Yandi Liu, Qingren Yao, Chongshou Li, Tianrui Li
Chronos-2 is a foundation model for multivariate time‑series forecasting that captures interactions among multiple series and heterogeneous covariates, enabling zero‑shot probabilistic forecasts without task‑specific tuning. It achieves state‑of‑the‑art accuracy, improving skill scores by 5.2 percentage points and win rates by 10 percentage points over leading baselines, while being computationally efficient—generating forecasts for 100 series in under one second on a single mid‑range GPU. The model demonstrates strong performance across diverse scientific domains such as infectious‑disease forecasting, macroeconomics, carbon‑flux prediction, and runoff simulation, matching or surpassing specialized methods.
By Abdul Fatir Ansari, Oleksandr Shchur, Jaris K\"uken, Andreas Auer, Boran Han, Pedro Mercado, Syama Sundar Rangapuram, Huibin Shen, Lorenzo Stella, Xiyuan Zhang, Mononito Goswami, Shubham Kapoor, Danielle C. Maddix, Pablo Guerron, Florian Saupe, Markus Reichstein, Tony Hu, Junming Yin, Nick Erickson, Prateek Mutalik Desai, Hao Wang, Huzefa Rangwala, George Karypis, Yuyang Wang, Michael Bohlke-Schneider
arXiv:2606. 13119v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Spatio-Temporal forecasting is crucial in diverse fields, such as transportation, climate, and energy.
By Lilan Peng, Yandi Liu, Qingren Yao, Chongshou Li, Tianrui Li
arXiv:2503. 24007v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In time series forecasting, covariates represent external factors that influence target variables.
By Yosuke Yamaguchi, Issei Suemitsu, Wenpeng Wei
arXiv:2608.20980v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Graph neural networks (GNNs) are routinely employed for short-range forecasting on multivariate time series with a spatial graph structure. Despite the...
By Kenneth Martin, Simon Heilig, Asja Fischer, Michel F. C. Haddad, Adam M. Sykulski, Moshe Eliasof
arXiv:2606. 05878v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Foundation models mark a profound paradigm shift in time series modeling, with task-specific models being superseded by general-purpose zero-shot models.
By Etienne Le Naour, Tahar Nabil, Adrien Petralia
arXiv:2610.19813v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Spatio-temporal forecasting is fundamental to many real-world systems, yet deployment environments are inherently varying: temporal distributions may e...
By Shengnan Guo, Jinjun Cheng, Xiaowei Mao, Jianhao Zhang, Haochen Lv, Yang Jiang, YiHeng Huang, Yan Lin, Youfang Lin, Huaiyu Wan
arXiv:2607. 10410v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reliable forecasting of several interrelated environmental variables - such as regional precipitation and temperature, or other correlated geophysical fields - across many locations calls for accurate predictions accompanied by trustworthy statements of their uncertainty.
By Jongwook Kim, Jong-Min Kim
AgroBench is a reproducible benchmark that converts U.S. county-level crop yield statistics into weakly supervised pixel‑level crop time series. The data generation pipeline fuses USDA yield data with land cover masks, Sentinel‑2 and Sentinel‑1 imagery, climatic variables, and terrain information to produce multimodal sequences for individual crop pixels across the growing season. The benchmark includes over 13 million observations from 788,654 crop pixels, covering 5,107 county‑year combinations for five major U.S. crops from 2017 to 2024, and establishes a Leave‑One‑Year‑Out evaluation protocol with baseline machine learning results.
By Udaiveer Singh, Rajiv Ranjan, Shashank Tamaskar, Dharmendra Saraswat
Accurate yield forecasting at the individual-plant level is critical for precision agriculture and supply-chain planning, yet public datasets capturing both visual growth dynamics and per-plant measurement labels are scarce. In this paper, we introduce a novel, annotated image time-series dataset of 691 sweet pepper plants monitored over two growing seasons, comprising 4837 images with per-plant fruit counts categorized by maturity.
arXiv:2608. 02366v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate time series imputation is fundamental to downstream analysis, yet modeling inter-variable dependencies with incomplete observations remains challenging.
By Mingyang Wang, Rongwen Li, Xiao Wang, Changjian Chen