arXiv Machine Learning

Causal DAG Identification for Count Data via Poisson Thinning Structural Equation Models

arXiv AI
22h ago

Differentiable Structure Learning for Cyclic Linear Gaussian Models with Latent Confounders

The paper introduces a method for learning causal structures in linear Gaussian models that may contain directed cycles and an unknown number of latent confounders, bounded by a maximum. It derives the covariance of observed variables, defines marginal quasi-equivalence to identify when different models produce the same observational distributions, and formulates structure learning as a minimization of Gaussian negative log-likelihood with a complexity penalty counting edges and latent variables. Using Bernoulli gates to parameterize edge and latent inclusion, the authors obtain a closed‑form differentiable objective whose expected value shares the same global optimum as the discrete problem, and demonstrate experimentally that this approach yields lower recovery error than prior methods.

By Sadegh Khorasani, Ali Najar, Saber Salehkaleybar, Negar Kiyavash
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 18

Epidemiological Causal Graph Identification: Challenges, Identifiability and Algorithms

The paper addresses causal discovery in Directed Acyclic Graphs where nodes are either ordinal (modeled with an ordered logit) or follow a one‑parameter exponential family distribution. It proves that the direction of edges between such nodes is identifiable for generic parameter values, extending prior Ordinal‑Poisson results. The authors also propose a score‑based exhaustive search and a masked continuous optimization method using DAGMA, and demonstrate through simulations that these approaches recover orientations that are otherwise unidentifiable under classical structural equation models.

By Sambit Mishra, Yingying Wang, Christine K. Johnson, Urbashi Mitra
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

Causal Discovery in Equal Variance Linear Gaussian DAGs via SURE-Tuned Ridge Regression

The paper introduces SURE-Ridge, a closed‑form estimator for recovering the directed acyclic graph of an equal‑variance linear Gaussian structural equation model. It performs parallel node‑wise regressions with regularization parameters selected via Stein's unbiased risk estimate and then applies adaptive thresholding to produce a DAG from a soft adjacency matrix. Experiments show that SURE‑Ridge attains the lowest structural Hamming distance in small‑sample settings and the fastest run time across all tested sample sizes compared to NOTEARS, DAGMA, and GBNSL.

By Sambit Mishra, Urbashi Mitra
arXiv AI
Jul 14

CDFM: Towards a General-Purpose Causal Discovery Foundation Model

arXiv:2607. 11508v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery, the process of recovering underlying causal structures from observational data, is a fundamental pursuit across scientific disciplines.

By Jie Qiao, Ruichu Cai, Zijian Li, Weilin Chen, Pengfei Hua, Boyan Xu, Zhengming Chen, Zhifeng Hao, Peng Cui