arXiv AI

Does Scaling Toward AGI Depend on What System-1 Lets System-2 Execute?

The paper investigates whether scaling artificial general intelligence (AGI) can be achieved more efficiently by co‑designing a lightweight, semantically aware predictor (System‑1) with a resource‑intensive executive (System‑2). It introduces a conditional interaction loop—predict, gate, execute, update—where System‑1 estimates the utility of candidate actions and only allows System‑2 to execute those that meet an adaptive threshold. The authors show that, under ideal conditions, this approach can reduce execution compute by a factor related to the density of utility‑relevant interactions, and they argue that this density (ρu) is a measurable coordinate of scaling efficiency, making informative compute a better metric than total compute.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Oct 29

Does Scaling Toward AGI Depend on What System-1 Lets System-2 Execute?

The paper investigates whether scaling toward artificial general intelligence (AGI) can be achieved by co‑designing a lightweight, semantically aware predictor (System‑1) with a resource‑intensive executive (System‑2). It introduces a conditional interaction loop where System‑1 estimates the utility of candidate actions, System‑2 executes those that pass an adaptive threshold, and the outcomes update System‑1. The study shows that, under ideal conditions, this approach can reduce execution compute by a factor related to the density of utility‑relevant interactions, and it proposes that this density is a key metric for scaling efficiency.

arXiv AI
Jul 9

Cost-Effective Agent Harnesses for Abstract Reasoning and Generalization on ARC-AGI-1

arXiv:2607. 06764v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent progress on ARC-AGI-1 from disclosed architectures has come broadly from two regimes: heavy test-time compute over frontier models (evolutionary search, exhaustive sampling, extended chain-of-thought), or benchmark-specific training in which small models are fine-tuned on ARC data, often with task-specialized architectures.

By Kabir Moghe, Peter Chin
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 21

How Data Scales in Agentic Reinforcement Learning: Laws and Synthesis Strategies

The paper investigates how data should be scaled in agentic reinforcement learning, where data is now a structured design space of tasks, environments, and trajectories. By fitting per‑axis scaling laws across various large language models and RL algorithms, the authors find that environment diversity has the strongest impact, followed by task and trajectory diversity. Using these laws, they price synthesis methods, identify critical synthetic‑to‑real ratios, and formulate a compute‑optimal budget allocation that can improve efficiency by up to 1.7× compared to the common practice of scaling trajectories alone.

By Bowei He, Yankai Chen, Xiaokun Zhang, Changjiang Han, Ye Yuan, Chong Li, Xue Liu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 2

ATLAS: Agentic Test-time Learning-to-Allocate Scaling

arXiv:2606. 01667v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Test-time scaling has become a major way to improve large language model reasoning, but its orchestration has remained designer-engineered: a fixed sample budget, a fixed refinement loop, a fixed scoring rule, or a fixed search policy decides how compute is spent, leaving the model in charge of solving but not of orchestration.

By Peijia Qin, Qi Cao, Pengtao Xie
arXiv AI
6d ago

When Is Smaller Greener? Right-Sizing Language Models for Agentic AI

The paper investigates how to choose the size of a language model for AI agents to balance reliability, energy, cost, and time. By treating model selection as a multi‑criteria decision problem, the authors derive task‑length thresholds—crossover points—where a smaller model becomes more efficient than a larger one, based on per‑step reliability and resource use. Experiments with 15 open‑weight models on synthetic tasks confirm that these predicted crossovers match observed data for most cases, showing that smaller models are greener only up to a predictable task length.

By Sajid Siraj, Maria Barbati
arXiv AI
Oct 26

RSI-Opt: Recursive Self-Improvement Optimizer Agents For Model Training

RSI-Opt introduces Recursive Self-Improvement Optimizer Agents that evolve their own training policies by accumulating knowledge from previous runs, including prompts, playbooks, optimizer code, and decision cadences. A meta‑agent rewrites and archives these policies, enabling reusable procedures and code that adapt to new tasks. Across multiple generations and tasks, RSI‑Opt improves optimizer performance, achieving higher z‑scores on evolution suites, better cross‑model transfer, and significant error reductions on PDE benchmarks compared to fixed‑prompt baselines.

By Binghang Lu, Yige Sun, Guang Lin
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Oct 5

Evolving in Thought Space: Training a Small Model at Test Time Unlocks Better Discoveries

The paper introduces Guidance‑TTT, a method that separates strategic planning from execution in test‑time training for large language models. A small guidance model is trained at test time to propose high‑level changes, while a frozen, larger execution model implements these changes, reducing the cost of maintaining gradients and optimizer states. Guidance‑TTT achieves strong results across four domains—combinatorial optimization, heuristic programming, machine learning, and GPU kernel optimization—outperforming prior work and matching state‑of‑the‑art leaderboard scores.

arXiv AI
Oct 28

MLE-World: Predicting Machine Learning Experiment Outcomes with a Learned World Model

MLE-World is a world model fine‑tuned from Qwen3.5‑4B that predicts the terminal output of a machine learning program—such as error traces, training logs, and validation scores—directly from its code and data description, without executing the program. It also provides a confidence score indicating the likelihood that the prediction is correct. Using these predictions, the authors design five test‑time‑scaling policies that compare multiple candidate programs per step, executing only those with low confidence, and demonstrate that MLE‑World matches real outputs on 77.9% of held‑out programs and improves agent performance by up to 22.1% with fewer real executions.

By Brian Ko, Han Wang, Hejia Geng, Li Erran Li, Sherry Yang
arXiv AI
Oct 19

EvalResearchBench: Can AI Agents Build Their Own Feedback for Recursive Self-Improvement?

EvalResearchBench (ERB) is a benchmark that tests whether AI agents can autonomously design evaluation tasks for recursive self‑improvement. In ERB, a researcher agent selects or synthesizes tasks, builds graders, and refines them through pilot tests before producing a final evaluator that runs within fixed time and API budgets. Experiments with nine researchers and thirteen candidate models show that the best automated evaluators achieve about 75% concordance with target benchmarks, below the 91% ceiling set by target disagreements, and that human‑designed task samples still outperform many automated approaches.

By Yaolun Zhang, Tianyi Xu, Yujie Zhao, Jishen Zhao, Qingyun Wu, Huazheng Wang