CRAFT: Clustering Rubrics to Diagnose Weak LLM Capabilities and Generate Targeted Fine-Tuning Data
arXiv:2607. 16122v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Evaluations should do more than measure a models current performance.
TIDE (Tree-Induced Diagnostic Evaluation) transforms diagnostic evaluation into a behavior-driven decision-tree induction process, enabling fine-grained capability diagnosis of large language models. By recursively building a hierarchical capability tree from benchmark samples and model scores, TIDE identifies nuanced contrasts between models that aggregate metrics miss—such as Claude Opus 4.6 outperforming GPT-5.4 on microeconomic market reasoning while falling behind on contract law reasoning. The method leverages LLM judges to propose splits and uses behavior-based information gain to select them, demonstrating its effectiveness across five models and four benchmarks.
arXiv:2607. 16122v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Evaluations should do more than measure a models current performance.
The paper examines whether transcripts of model solutions can reveal capabilities after benchmark scores saturate. By simulating saturation with historical data, the authors test protocols that use only correctly solved transcripts to predict performance on unsaturated items. Pairwise judging of transcripts outperforms other methods, reducing prediction error by 5.3×, though its effectiveness can vary across distribution shifts.
arXiv:2608. 14509v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Systems that ask a language model to reach a conclusion from many sources usually concatenate them into one prompt.
arXiv:2601. 22588v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are widely used as reference-free evaluators via prompting, but this "LLM-as-a-Judge" paradigm is costly, opaque, and sensitive to prompt design.
arXiv:2606. 12117v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Benchmark scores often misrepresent a large language model's (LLM's) knowledge, because they rely, e.
arXiv:2605.30018v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) frequently achieve impressive scores on standardized benchmarks, yet accuracy alone offers a limited view of the...
The paper argues that verbalized confidence—once viewed as overconfident and coarse—has become the preferred soft‑scoring method for LLM‑as‑a‑Judge on top‑tier proprietary models released after 2025. Experiments on SummEval, AggreFact, and HelpSteer2 across up to 18 LLMs show that log‑probabilities are no longer the best signal, and that adding an overconfidence advisory and self‑debate further improves calibration and robustness. The authors note that these enhancements incur little accuracy loss on post‑2025 models but do affect pre‑2025 ones, highlighting a compatibility shift in how confidence should be measured.
arXiv:2601. 16398v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Algorithmic audits are essential tools for examining systems for properties required by regulators or desired by operators.
arXiv:2608. 04719v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Agent evaluations tell us that a model picked the wrong tool, but rarely why.
arXiv:2603. 00546v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Using Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) as judges to achieve precise and consistent evaluations has gradually become an emerging paradigm across various domains.
The study investigates how prior scores influence large language model (LLM) judgments in the LLM-as-a-Judge paradigm. By testing three prompt conditions—no metadata, revision framing, and anchored metadata containing prior scores—the authors find that prior scores systematically bias evaluations, shifting ratings toward those scores across 192,000 attempts. The bias also affects categorical decisions, blocking 48% of error corrections and flipping 10.18% of correct judgments, and is not mitigated by Chain-of-Thought or a warning, underscoring the need for careful context engineering.
arXiv:2606. 27383v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as research assistants, yet it remains unclear whether they can calibrate research takeaways to the strength and scope of the supporting evidence.