arXiv Machine Learning

Prediction with Expert Advice: Anytime Regret with Many Experts Matches the Fixed-Time Constant

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 30

Improved Multi-Dimensional Forecasting for Swap Regret

arXiv:2606. 29533v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study the problem of forecasting for an arbitrary number of downstream agents with unknown objectives, each of whom best responds to the forecaster's predictions.

By Joey Rivkin, Ramiro N. Deo-Campo Vuong, Robert Kleinberg, Chido Onyeze, Erald Sinanaj, Eva Tardos
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

Toward Simultaneously Optimal Regret in U-Calibration

arXiv:2606. 18527v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: U-calibration studies online forecasting algorithms whose predictions can be consumed by any unknown downstream agent, guaranteeing sublinear regret simultaneously for all proper loss functions.

By Rafael Frongillo, Haipeng Luo, Nishant A. Mehta, Jon Schneider