Aligning Data-Driven Predictors with Allocation: A Decision-Focused Approach to Survival Analysis
arXiv:2606. 02671v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Machine learning predictors have become essential tools for guiding automated decision making.
The paper proposes an AI framework called the Arbitrator to decide when to recommend, defer, or deviate from historical decisions in deceased-donor kidney allocation. Using data from 2016‑2019 and 2023‑2025, the Arbitrator resolves 93.5% of placement decisions with interpretable medical criteria and defers the remaining 6.5% to humans or more complex models. It identifies 70.1% of historically discarded low‑KDPI kidneys as suitable for out‑of‑sequence allocation, suggesting that up to 43.9% of discarded kidneys could be expedited for transplant.
arXiv:2606. 02671v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Machine learning predictors have become essential tools for guiding automated decision making.
There has been significant interest in using machine learning algorithms to predict kidney transplant outcomes, such as the number of years until a graft inevitably fails. These prediction algorithms could possibly be used for pre-transplant donor-recipient matching to identify more compatible donors and recipients and thus improve post-transplant outcomes.
arXiv:2608. 03017v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: There has been significant interest in using machine learning algorithms to predict kidney transplant outcomes, such as the number of years until a graft inevitably fails.
The paper introduces MIMIC-DOS, a dataset derived from MIMIC-IV that focuses on ICU cases where patient symptoms and medical signs are discordant. It presents CARE, a privacy‑compliant multi‑stage agentic reasoning framework that uses a proprietary LLM to generate structured categories and transitions, while a local LLM performs evidence acquisition and decision‑making. In retrospective evaluations on MIMIC‑DOS, CARE outperforms other LLMs and agentic workflows, demonstrating stronger handling of conflicting clinical evidence while preserving patient privacy.
arXiv:2606. 14149v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in healthcare settings, yet their tendency to hallucinate poses risks when clinical decisions are involved.
arXiv:2507. 07339v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Decisions about managing patients on the heart transplant waitlist are currently made by committees of doctors who consider multiple factors, but the process remains largely ad-hoc.
arXiv:2606. 16149v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Rare disease diagnosis depends on expert reasoning that is scarce and difficult to transfer; off-the-shelf large language models (LLMs) rank the correct disease first in only 35.
arXiv:2601. 17642v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Safety alignment in Large Language Models is critical for healthcare; however, reliance on binary refusal boundaries often results in over-refusal of benign queries or unsafe compliance with harmful ones.
arXiv:2604. 16742v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Scientists have long sought to accurately predict outcomes of real-world events before they happen.
arXiv:2607. 09165v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Achieving early and timely diagnosis and treatment for disease is a major challenge.
arXiv:2608. 12477v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Clinical prediction models are often developed as if the outcome of interest were cleanly observed for every patient.
arXiv:2501. 16388v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Background: Chronic kidney disease (CKD), a progressive disease with high morbidity and mortality, has become a significant global public health problem.