arXiv Machine Learning

Chronosphere: Space-Time Tessellation of Local Climate Experts

arXiv:2609. 21872v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce Chronosphere, a spatio-temporal neural field that learns representations of climate.

arXiv Computer Vision
Sep 25

Recoverable Geographic Location Information in Earth-Observation Embeddings

The study evaluates whether Earth‑observation foundation models encode geographic location information by attempting to predict coordinates from their embeddings. Using 284 verified European solar farms, the authors tested Tessera v1, Tessera v1.1, and AlphaEarth, finding that all three models contain recoverable geographic data. AlphaEarth showed the strongest correlation between embedding distance and geographic distance, while both Tessera variants outperformed Sentinel‑2 controls, suggesting that geographic information should be considered when auditing such models.

By Peiwen Zhang, Kristie Hu, Jovana Knezevic, Shunde Yin, Kyle Gao
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 30

High-Resolution Climate Projections Using Diffusion-Based Downscaling of a Lightweight Climate Emulator

arXiv:2602. 13416v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The proliferation of data-driven models in weather and climate sciences has marked a significant paradigm shift, with advanced models demonstrating exceptional skill in medium-range forecasting.

By Haiwen Guan, Dibyajyoti Chakraborty, Moein Darman, Troy Arcomano, Ashesh Chattopadhyay, Romit Maulik
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 13

Earth observation embeddings are effective sub-grid descriptors for probabilistic weather downscaling

arXiv:2608. 12271v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Global weather reanalyses and forecasts resolve the evolving atmospheric state on coarse grids, but site-specific applications require predictions at arbitrary locations where near-surface conditions also depend on unresolved terrain and land-surface properties.

By Pedro Sousa (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Will Tebbutt (Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge), Sadiq Jaffer (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Robin Young (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Anil Madhavapeddy (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Richard E. Turner (Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge)
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 27

Tropospheric temperature and humidity profile retrieval from Meteosat Flexible Combined Imager based on deep learning

The study presents a spatially aware deep learning framework that retrieves all‑sky tropospheric temperature and humidity profiles from the Meteosat Third Generation Flexible Combined Imager (FCI) without relying on numerical weather prediction background fields. Using a Residual U‑Net trained on 14 months of collocated FCI observations and CERRA reanalysis data, the model achieves temperature biases below 0.4 K and relative humidity standard deviations between 12–20 %, with modest performance degradation under cloud cover. Ablation and feature‑sensitivity analyses confirm that incorporating spatial context across all 16 FCI channels, including visible and near‑infrared bands, improves retrieval accuracy, especially beneath cloud tops.

By Alejandro Salgueiro, Johannes Rausch, Julie Th\'er\`ese Villinger, Angela Meyer
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 4

From Nowcasting to Forecasting: Adapting a Reanalysis-Trained

The paper introduces CloudCast v2, a machine‑learning model that forecasts 12‑hour cloud‑cover from satellite‑derived initial conditions. Trained first on the Copernicus European Regional Reanalysis to learn cloud‑evolution dynamics, it is then adapted to real satellite data using conditional flow matching, a generative technique that conditions noise on observed cloud fields and NWP inputs. CloudCast v2 achieves a 10 % reduction in mean absolute error compared to its predecessor and surpasses it in spatial skill after 3–6 hours, extending useful forecasting beyond the typical 1–3‑hour nowcasting window while preserving satellite‑level spatial detail.

By Mikko Partio, Leila Hieta, Ossi Laine
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1

Scaling Storm-Resolving Atmospheric AI Simulation to the Entire Planet

arXiv:2606. 31248v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Kilometer-scale convection shapes precipitation extremes, tropical organization, and cloud feedbacks, but most global atmospheric models approximate these processes at 25-100 km resolution.

By Zeyuan Hu, Akshay Subramaniam, Noel Keen, Tao Ge, Jaideep Pathak, Mohammad Shoaib Abbas, Suman Ravuri, Karthik Kashinath, Naser Mahfouz, Peter Caldwell, Mike Pritchard, Noah Brenowitz