arXiv:2608. 00701v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reweighting source samples to match a target covariate distribution is a standard response to distribution shift when generalizing evidence from one population to another.
By Ying Jin, Ying Jin, Dominik Rothenh\"ausler
arXiv:2509. 09371v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) protects statistical learning against distributional shifts by optimizing the worst-case performance over a set of perturbed distributions.
By Zitao Wang, Nian Si, Molei Liu
arXiv:2603.05575v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: We study prediction-powered conditional inference in the setting where labeled data are scarce, unlabeled covariates are abundant, and a blac...
By Yang Sui, Jin Zhou, Hua Zhou, Xiaowu Dai
The paper studies a two‑stage learning framework that first trains an offline model using approximate nonlinear‑least‑squares estimation and then adapts it online with a meta‑LMS algorithm to handle parameter drift in nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. It provides an upper bound on the offline generalization error that accounts for strong data correlation and distribution shift via Kullback‑Leibler divergence, and it demonstrates that the combined offline‑online approach outperforms methods that rely solely on offline or online learning. Both theoretical analysis and empirical experiments support the claimed performance gains.
By Haizheng Li, Lei Guo
arXiv:2607. 08202v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Estimating original-space conditional expectations is central to value-driven recommender systems, including dwell time, GMV, and LTV forecasting.
By Mingyu Zhao, Zhaohan Li, Zhenxiong Miao, Xu Zhang, Dewei Leng, Yanan Niu, Kun Gai
arXiv:2511. 18945v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We propose a fully data-driven approach to designing mutual information (MI) estimators.
By German Gritsai, Megan Richards, Maxime M\'eloux, Kyunghyun Cho, Maxime Peyrard
arXiv:2607. 00259v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) seeks to improve model robustness under distribution shifts by adapting parameters using unlabeled target data.
By Afshar Shamsi, Xiao-Yu Guo, Hamid Alinejad-Rokny, Arash Mohammadi, Damien Teney, Ehsan Abbasnejad
arXiv:2607. 26577v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Adaptive conformal inference (ACI) of Gibbs and Cand{\`e}s and its variants are the standard approach to online conformal prediction under distribution shift, but they suffer from three fundamental limitations.
By Rahul Vaze
arXiv:2411.02771v3 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Doubly robust estimators are widely used for estimating average treatment effects and other linear summaries of regression functions. While c...
By Lars van der Laan, Alex Luedtke, Marco Carone
arXiv:2609.24086v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Large-scale multipurpose cohort studies and biobanks often omit covariates needed for specific downstream analyses. We study target-population infere...
By Huali Zhao (School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology), Ke Deng (Department of Statistics and Data Science, Tsinghua University)
arXiv:2602. 13362v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty.
By \'Ad\'am Jung, Domokos M. Kelen, Andr\'as A. Bencz\'ur
arXiv:2604. 13130v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We study learning to learn through the lens of hyperparameter tuning.
By Saumya Goyal, Rohith Rongali, Ritabrata Ray, Barnab\'as P\'oczos