arXiv Machine Learning

Fallacy Benchmarks Measure Scheme Recognition, Not Fallacy Detection

The paper argues that current fallacy-detection benchmarks are flawed because they pair fallacy classes with a broad "valid" or "none" class that includes many correct arguments, leading to misleadingly low false‑positive rates. By constructing scheme‑matched negatives—correct arguments that use the same argumentation scheme as the fallacy—the authors show that false‑positive rates rise dramatically, indicating that classifiers are learning to recognize schemes rather than detecting fallacies. The study releases these scheme‑matched examples as Scheme Foils and cautions that reported false‑positive rates should not be trusted until the valid class is audited for scheme coverage.

arXiv AI
Jul 24

Synthetic minority data is redundant or invalid: a data-dependent validity theory and a de-biased test

arXiv:2607. 20787v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: For two decades, the standard remedy for class-imbalanced learning has been to fabricate synthetic minority examples, and the standard evidence of their validity has been a check that cannot fail: synthetic points are scored against the very data that generated them.

By Ahmad B. Hassanat, Ahmad S. Tarawneh, Ghada A. Altarawneh
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

The Truth Was Never Gone: Perfect Aliasing in Compliant-Context Truth Probes

The paper introduces the concept of perfect aliasing, where a truth probe that aligns truthful reporting with a task’s prescribed action cannot differentiate between the two based solely on its labels. In a binary reporting game, probes fitted on compliant contexts yield identical optimizations, while on rival contexts their labels are complementary, causing their AUROCs to sum to one across 751 cell-layer pairs. By employing randomized codebooks and mixed-context fitting, the authors demonstrate that separating prescribed output symbols from semantic action enables perfect recovery of truth, achieving an AUROC of 1.000 on rival trials for a reward-trained Gemma-2-9B policy, whereas conventional probes perform near chance.

By Dylan Jayabahu
arXiv AI
Sep 4

CASCADE: A Component Ablation and Corpus Audit of a Layered Local Defense for MCP-Based Systems

The paper evaluates CASCADE, a fully local layered defense for Model Context Protocol (MCP)-based systems, by conducting a component ablation and corpus audit on a fixed 5,000-sample dataset. It demonstrates that the choice of aggregation convention heavily influences reported metrics, that detection performance varies with provenance, and that the released configuration does not fully disclose the operating point. The study also shows that a local review model invoked for a third of requests does not alter classification outcomes, highlighting the importance of reproducibility and transparency in defense evaluations.

By \.Ipek Abas{\i}kele\c{s} Turgut, Edip G\"um\"u\c{s}
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 25

How Reliable Is Your Jailbreak Judge? Calibration and Adversarial Robustness of Automated ASR Scoring

arXiv:2606. 25487v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Almost every paper on LLM jailbreaks and prompt injection reports an attack-success rate (ASR), and that number is assigned not by people but by an automated judge: either a safety classifier trained for the task, or a general chat model prompted to grade.

By Yang Gao (Veyon Solutions)
arXiv AI
Sep 24

Ask Which, Not How Good: Sizing Benchmarks Scored by an LLM

The study analyzes 373,019 judgments from LLM‑scored benchmarks, decomposing variance into system, item, judge, and interaction components via generalizability theory. It finds that with a single judge, generalizability converges to a ceiling determined by the system‑by‑judge variance, which is substantially lower in pairwise preference settings, allowing one judge to suffice. The research also reveals significant biases in presentation order and highlights that many published win‑rate claims fall below the measured floor of the benchmarks.

By Atul Anand
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 9

Prior-matched evaluation of operational Earth-observation classifiers: a three-number reporting method demonstrated on Sentinel-1 internal-wave detection

arXiv:2607. 07146v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The Internal Waves Service screens the Sentinel-1 Wave-mode archive for internal solitary waves, routing detections to experts whose adjudication time is the resource the effort exists to conserve.

By Joao Pinelo, Joao Goncalves, Arun Shukla, Adriana Santos-Ferreira