arXiv Machine Learning

WaveTLM: Reliable Time-Series Language Modeling through Task Compilation

arXiv AI
3d ago

CodeTS: Verifiable Text-to-Time Series Generation via Executable Code

CodeTS introduces a verifiable framework for generating time series from natural language by translating textual temporal descriptions into executable code, which then produces the desired series. The approach constructs aligned Text‑Code‑TS triplets for supervised initialization and employs multi‑stage execution‑based rewards to ensure code validity and time‑series quality. Experiments on eight benchmarks show that CodeTS outperforms both LLM‑based and supervised generative baselines, offering a strong zero‑shot solution for Text‑to‑TS generation.

By Xudong Yuan, Shunyu Liu, Tongya Zheng, Huiping Zhuang, Mingli Song, Kaixuan Chen
arXiv AI
Aug 19

TSQueryBench: LLM-as-a-Judge for Time Series Explanations

TSQueryBench is a synthetic benchmark comprising 500 time‑series instances and 10 query types, each paired with correct, partially correct, and incorrect natural‑language explanations. The study evaluates six large language models on explanation generation, ranking, scoring, and anomaly detection, revealing that models often fail to generate numerically correct explanations yet can reliably identify or score correct ones. These findings suggest that rubric‑guided LLM evaluation is more dependable than generation for numerically grounded time‑series reasoning.

By Preetham Sivalingam, Murari Mandal, Dhruv Kumar, Saurabh Deshpande
arXiv AI
Aug 18

Adapting LLMs to Time Series Forecasting via Temporal Heterogeneity Modeling and Representation Alignment

arXiv:2508. 07195v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can be effectively adapted for time series forecasting, revealing strong potential beyond natural language tasks.

By Yanru Sun, Emadeldeen Eldele, Zongxia Xie, Yucheng Wang, Wenzhe Niu, Qinghua Hu, Chee Keong Kwoh, Min Wu
arXiv AI
Aug 25

LLM-based Agents for Forecasting and Prediction: Methods, Training, Evaluation, and Applications

arXiv:2608.23058v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) now support forecasting systems that combine language-based reasoning with temporal data, evidence retrieval, external too...

By Xiaogang Xu, Jiaqi Tang, Jianmin Chen, Yingying Yan, Zhenchao Tang, Xiangxin Zhou, Xiaobin Hu, Wei Wei, Jinfeng Wu, Qifeng Chen, Lu Zhou, Jiafei Wu, Zhe Liu, Jianwei Yin, Weimin Zheng
arXiv AI
Jun 8

TSAQA: Time Series Analysis Question And Answering Benchmark

arXiv:2601. 23204v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Time series data are integral to critical applications across domains such as finance, healthcare, transportation, and environmental science.

By Baoyu Jing, Sanhorn Chen, Lecheng Zheng, Boyu Liu, Zihao Li, Jiaru Zou, Tianxin Wei, Zhining Liu, Zhichen Zeng, Ruizhong Qiu, Xiao Lin, Yuchen Yan, Dongqi Fu, Jingchao Ni, Jingrui He, Hanghang Tong
arXiv AI
Jul 15

Scaling Point-in-Time Language Models

arXiv:2607. 11889v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models trained on unrestricted internet corpora inevitably embed information from the future, introducing lookahead bias that compromises the validity of backtests and causal inference in finance and the social sciences.

By Bryan Kelly, Semyon Malamud, Johannes Schwab, Teng Andrea Xu
arXiv AI
Aug 25

NeST: Neighborhood-aware semantic alignment and temporal modulation for LLM based time series forecasting

NeST is a framework that adapts large language models (LLMs) for continuous time‑series forecasting by creating neighborhood‑aware text prototypes and aligning them with temporal representations through a nearest‑neighbor contrastive objective. It retrieves the most relevant prototypes and uses them to conditionally modulate time‑series features, enabling more effective integration of textual and temporal information. Experiments show that NeST outperforms state‑of‑the‑art methods on eight benchmarks, reduces MSE by 1.2% for long‑term forecasting, improves zero‑shot forecasting by 4.9%, and boosts R² by 3.3% on a real‑world photovoltaic power forecasting task.

By Jayanie Bogahawatte, Sachith Seneviratne, Maneesha Perera, Saman Halgamuge
arXiv Computation and Language
Aug 21

When Text and Numbers Disagree: Evidence Arbitration in Large Language Models

arXiv:2608. 20116v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in settings where textual summaries, numerical observations, and external tool outputs may provide conflicting evidence.

By Mattia Carletti, Edward Phillips, Fredrik K. Gustafsson, Patitapaban Palo, Lei Clifton, Danielle Belgrave, Xiao Gu, David A. Clifton