arXiv:2606. 10023v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate posterior estimation is central to scientific inference, as uncertainties determine what can be reliably learned from observational data.
By Ludvig Doeser, Jens Jasche
arXiv:2510. 17459v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In this work, we propose a flow-matching Markov chain Monte Carlo (FM-MCMC) algorithm for estimating the orbital parameters of exoplanetary systems, especially for those only one exoplanet is involved.
By Bo Liang, Hanlin Song, Chang Liu, Tianyu Zhao, Yuxiang Xu, Zihao Xiao, Manjia Liang, Minghui Du, Wei-Liang Qian, Li-e Qiang, Peng Xu, Ziren Luo
arXiv:2604. 08648v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We motivate the use of differentiable probabilistic programming techniques in order to account for the large model-space inherent to astrophysical $\gamma$-ray analyses.
By Siddharth Mishra-Sharma, Tracy R. Slatyer, Yitian Sun, Yuqing Wu
arXiv:2607. 03904v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pulsar timing arrays (PTAs) provide a unique window into nanohertz gravitational waves (GWs), but extracting astrophysical parameters from noisy, long-baseline timing residuals remains computationally challenging with traditional Bayesian techniques due to the high dimensionality of the parameter space, complex and correlated noise models, and the cost of repeated likelihood evaluations.
By Subhajit Dandapat, Alvin J. K. Chua
arXiv:2608. 07648v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Sampling high-dimensional probability distributions is a central task in scientific computing, with applications ranging from Bayesian inference to statistical physics and molecular simulation.
By Marylou Gabri\'e
arXiv:2607. 05252v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) is critical for scientific discovery, with generative models offering a promising path toward efficient inference.
By Weichen Qin, Yufan Xie, Peihao Wang, Chia-Jui Chou, Minghui Du, Peng Xu, Ziren Luo, Yi Yang, Jingyi Yu, Bo Liang, Jiakai Zhang
arXiv:2606. 30489v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Normalizing Flows excel at modeling a single fixed density, yet many problems across the sciences, such as high energy physics, instead require modeling how that density deforms as a function of continuous parameters: the strength of a physical effect, a calibration constant, or a source of systematic uncertainty.
By Davide Valsecchi, Mauro Doneg\`a, Rainer Wallny
arXiv:2504. 01894v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present a bifidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution.
By Caroline Tatsuoka, Minglei Yang, Dongbin Xiu, Guannan Zhang
arXiv:2607. 04738v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reconstructing population dynamics is a central problem in the physical and data sciences.
By Markus Heinonen, Yair Shenfeld, Ricardo Baptista, Daniel Waxman, Dmitry Batenkov, Tim Cooijmans, Eli Bingham
arXiv:2607. 24608v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This work investigates uncertainty decomposition and explainability in a deep learning-based framework for gyroscope bias correction.
By Mariela De Lucas \'Alvarez, Melvin Laux, Arthur de Freitas Precht, Maurice Martin, Edoardo Caroselli, Frank Kirchner, Alexander Fabisch
arXiv:2608. 01793v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Unified anomaly detection requires modeling highly heterogeneous normal data without access to anomalous samples.
By Camile Lendering, Erkut Akdag, Joaqu\'in Figueira, Egor Bondarev
arXiv:2605. 27527v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Astrophysical observations from Earth are subject to weather, environmental, and scientific constraints that lead to sparse, irregular light curves.
By Siddharth Chaini, Federica B. Bianco, Ashish Mahabal