arXiv AI

Accelerating Returns and the Qualitative Engine for Science

arXiv:2606. 26359v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Ray Kurzweil described a thesis of accelerating returns, which is the most influential narratives in discussions of technological progress.

arXiv AI
Sep 25

AI in Science: Early Insights

The paper "AI in Science: Early Insights" analyzes AI’s impact on scientific work using data from 15 million Gemini interactions, 2,600 specialized AI models, and a survey of 600 scientists. It finds widespread AI adoption, complementary use of large language models and specialized tools, significant productivity gains of about seven hours per week, and a shift in research bottlenecks toward hypothesis backlog and verification needs. The study suggests AI can boost scientific productivity but its full effect depends on addressing new downstream challenges.

By Mihai Codreanu, Alex Imas, Juan Mateos-Garcia, Joseph Emmens, Evalyne Muiruri, Arthur Turrell, Julian Jacobs, Atoosa Kasirzadeh, Ana Trisovic, Yiyuan Chen, Tanya Rodchenko, Catherine Pollard, Scott Strand, Daniel Rock, Zanna Iscenko, Fabien Curto Millet, Neil Thompson, James Manyika
arXiv AI
Sep 18

ScientistTwo: Pioneering the Human Knowledge Frontier with Autonomous AI

The paper introduces ScientistTwo, a fully autonomous multi‑agent framework that takes a scientific problem, establishes baselines, generates hypotheses, and coordinates specialized agents to conduct an end‑to‑end discovery cycle without human intervention. It rigorously tests and refines its methods through automated experiments, ablation studies, and a closed‑loop peer‑review engine. Benchmarking against top conferences (ICLR, ICML, NeurIPS) shows that ScientistTwo produces expert‑level, publishable papers and codebases that outperform human state‑of‑the‑art models and receive higher review ratings under automated AI review.

By Jaehyun Nam, Jinsung Yoon, Yanzhou Pan, Yubo Wang, Rui Meng, Parthasarathy Ranganathan, Tomas Pfister
arXiv AI
Sep 16

The AI-Enabled Scientific Frontier

The paper "The AI-Enabled Scientific Frontier" analyzes 2,507 head‑to‑head comparisons of AI versus other scientific methods across 27 disciplines from 2000 to early 2025. It finds that AI often outperforms traditional statistics but at higher computational cost, while in about a quarter of cases AI is both more expensive and less effective. Compared to scientific computing, AI usually underperforms but at lower cost, though since 2020 its performance has improved, now surpassing computing in over half of the comparisons.

By Gabriel Manso, Emma Fu, Neil Thompson
arXiv AI
Jun 12

From AGI to ASI

arXiv:2606. 12683v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Over the last decade, building human-level artificial general intelligence has moved from far-fetched speculation to being a concrete next-decade target for many of the largest AI organisations.

By Tim Genewein, Matija Franklin, Alexander Lerchner, Laurent Orseau, Samuel Albanie, Adam Bales, Cole Wyeth, Stephanie Chan, Iason Gabriel, Joel Z. Leibo, Allan Dafoe, Marcus Hutter, Thore Graepel, Shane Legg
arXiv AI
Aug 19

ASI-Bench: At the Dawn of Artificial Superintelligence

ASI‑Bench is a new benchmark that evaluates AI systems on their ability to conduct innovative exploration and autonomous scientific research across 11 domains, using 60 project‑level tasks. It progressively removes human methodological guidance to test whether AI can independently select methods, execute research, and produce verifiable results. Results from 18 state‑of‑the‑art agent–model configurations show a sharp performance drop when guidance is reduced, indicating current systems still rely heavily on human input.

By Junwei Zhou, Zhen Sun, Binyu Li, Jiangyu Zhou, Yuexi Pan, Hengyu Wang, Honghe Ren, Xiaohan Jia, Xueyang Zhou, Xiaoyu Cao, Yongchao Chen, Yuanning Feng, Junhao Wu, Cheng Zhang, Sijia Chen, Haoyu Xue, Chengsong You, Huan Wang, Koutian Wu, Peigan Gao, Jiakun Wu, Wenzhe Li, Ergan Shang, Qingyuan Zheng, Jingjing Zhou, Ruixuan Jia, Yan Xu, Hongrui Zhang, Xiao-Han Ma, Zhengxiang Cheng, Yuexing Hao, Liting Mai, Xianglin Ji, Wenjun Zhang, Zhuofan Chen, Yixiao Huang, Chi Wang, Wenyue Hua, Yilun Hao, Yuantao Zhai, Ziyan Zhao, Jingyan Xie