arXiv AI

AdaKoop: Efficient Modeling of Nonlinear Dynamics from Nonstationary Data Streams with Koopman Operator Regression

arXiv:2606. 04930v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Real-time data analysis requires the ability to accurately and adaptively address nonlinear dynamics in a nonstationary data stream while preserving computational efficiency.

arXiv AI
Sep 17

Principled Koopman Representations with Kalman Inference for Efficient Time-Series Prediction

The paper introduces K$^2$SVD, a method that learns the leading singular functions of the Koopman operator by optimizing a Hilbert-Schmidt objective, producing a low‑rank, interpretable Koopman representation with a compact latent space. In this space, temporal evolution is modeled with a linear Gaussian state‑space model and inference is performed via Kalman filtering to reduce noise accumulation in multi‑step predictions. Experiments demonstrate that K$^2$SVD outperforms state‑of‑the‑art methods on multiple datasets, achieving faster prediction speeds and lower computational cost.

By Ruiquan Li, Yuheng Bu
arXiv AI
Aug 25

FreKoo++: Learning Continuous Spectral Dynamics for Temporal Domain Generalization

FreKoo++ is a continuous spectral-dynamical framework designed for Temporal Domain Generalization (TDG). It unifies continuous Koopman modal dynamics with adaptive spectral disentanglement, mapping source-domain parameters into a latent space and modeling their evolution as a superposition of learnable continuous modes. The method handles irregular timestamps, supports arbitrary horizon extrapolation, and introduces an adaptive soft spectral weighting mechanism that isolates persistent dynamics from transient noise, achieving state‑of‑the‑art performance on discrete and continuous TDG benchmarks.

By En Yu, Xiaoyu Yang, Wei Duan, Guangquan Zhang, Jie Lu
arXiv Statistics ML
Sep 17

A Continuous-Time Ensemble Kalman-Bucy Smoother for Causal Inference and Model Discovery

The paper presents an ensemble Kalman–Bucy smoother (EnKBS) for continuous‑time data assimilation of nonlinear dynamical systems, reconstructing conditional distributions from ensemble moments without needing tangent‑linear or adjoint models. It demonstrates that EnKBS achieves exact smoothing mean and covariance in the infinite‑ensemble limit for linear‑Gaussian systems and incorporates regularization techniques like covariance localization and inflation for high‑dimensional problems. The method is applied to Bayesian inference of causal relationships in a dyadic trigger‑feedback model and to an iterative learning algorithm that uncovers the structure and hidden parameters of a reduced‑order model of midlatitude atmospheric circulation, all with small ensembles under partial observations.

By Zhang Jiang (University of Wisconsin-Madison), Marios Andreou (University of Wisconsin-Madison), Sebastian Reich (University of Potsdam), Nan Chen (University of Wisconsin-Madison)