arXiv:2605. 17269v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This work introduces a general framework for calibeating based on regret minimization.
arXiv:2606. 18527v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: U-calibration studies online forecasting algorithms whose predictions can be consumed by any unknown downstream agent, guaranteeing sublinear regret simultaneously for all proper loss functions.
arXiv:2501.18581v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Bias-variance decompositions are widely used to understand the generalization performance of machine learning models. While the squared error loss...
arXiv:2607. 19689v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study the problem of recalibrating an online predictor [KE17, OKS24]: given an arbitrary "hint" sequence of forecasts, the learner must output new predictions that are calibrated while incurring small excess error relative to the original forecasts, under a proper loss.
arXiv:2608. 06656v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Can one forecaster attain the optimal regret rate for every bounded proper loss and also adapt to every smooth proper loss?
arXiv:2510. 22819v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The convergence analysis of online learning algorithms is central to machine learning theory, where the last-iterate convergence is particularly important, as it captures the learner's actual decisions and describes the evolution of the learning process over time.
arXiv:2609. 01999v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study a variant of the Thompson Sampling (TS) algorithm, called $\alpha$-TS, for solving stochastic generalized linear bandit problems.
arXiv:2602.08372v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We study dynamic regret minimization in non-stationary online learning, with a primary focus on follow-the-regularized-leader (FTRL) methods. FTRL...
arXiv:2601. 02022v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We prove that Thompson sampling exhibits $\tilde{O}(\sigma d \sqrt{T} + d r \sqrt{\mathrm{Tr}(\Sigma_0)})$ Bayesian regret in the linear-Gaussian bandit with a $\mathcal{N}(\mu_0, \Sigma_0)$ prior distribution on the coefficients, where $d$ is the dimension, $T$ is the time horizon, $r$ is the maximum $\ell_2$ norm of the actions, and $\sigma^2$ is the noise variance.
arXiv:2601.13519v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper introduces a new problem-dependent regret measure for online convex optimization with smooth losses. The notion, which we call the...
arXiv:2309. 06349v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Thompson sampling (TS) is one of the most popular and earliest algorithms to solve stochastic multi-armed bandit problems.
arXiv:2603. 25029v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We study online convex optimization (OCO) with two-point bandit feedback against a non-anticipating adaptive adversary.
arXiv:2603. 20388v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We derive the asymptotic risk function of regularized empirical risk minimization (ERM) estimators tuned by $n$-fold cross-validation (CV).