arXiv:2605. 17269v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This work introduces a general framework for calibeating based on regret minimization.
arXiv:2606. 18527v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: U-calibration studies online forecasting algorithms whose predictions can be consumed by any unknown downstream agent, guaranteeing sublinear regret simultaneously for all proper loss functions.
arXiv:2607. 19689v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study the problem of recalibrating an online predictor [KE17, OKS24]: given an arbitrary "hint" sequence of forecasts, the learner must output new predictions that are calibrated while incurring small excess error relative to the original forecasts, under a proper loss.
arXiv:2608. 06656v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Can one forecaster attain the optimal regret rate for every bounded proper loss and also adapt to every smooth proper loss?
arXiv:2510. 22819v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The convergence analysis of online learning algorithms is central to machine learning theory, where the last-iterate convergence is particularly important, as it captures the learner's actual decisions and describes the evolution of the learning process over time.
arXiv:2601. 02022v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We prove that Thompson sampling exhibits $\tilde{O}(\sigma d \sqrt{T} + d r \sqrt{\mathrm{Tr}(\Sigma_0)})$ Bayesian regret in the linear-Gaussian bandit with a $\mathcal{N}(\mu_0, \Sigma_0)$ prior distribution on the coefficients, where $d$ is the dimension, $T$ is the time horizon, $r$ is the maximum $\ell_2$ norm of the actions, and $\sigma^2$ is the noise variance.
arXiv:2603. 25029v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We study online convex optimization (OCO) with two-point bandit feedback against a non-anticipating adaptive adversary.
arXiv:2603. 20388v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We derive the asymptotic risk function of regularized empirical risk minimization (ERM) estimators tuned by $n$-fold cross-validation (CV).
arXiv:2606. 13984v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Decision trees are one of the fundamental tools in statistical learning due to their interpretability, flexibility, and their ability to adapt to nonlinear structures.
arXiv:2608. 04149v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Swap regret governs the rate at which uncoupled learning dynamics converge to correlated equilibria in multiplayer general-sum games.
arXiv:2607. 28856v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Swap-agnostic learning strengthens classical agnostic learning by allowing the comparator to select a different hypothesis on each level set of the learner's predictions.
arXiv:2608. 15365v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Regret minimization (RM) and best-arm identification (BAI) are two fundamental objectives in multi-armed bandits.
arXiv:2604. 10727v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Classical information-theoretic learning bounds typically rely on KL mutual information and moment-generating-function (MGF) arguments, which are well matched to bounded or sub-Gaussian losses but can be ineffective when losses or rewards are heavy-tailed.