arXiv Machine Learning

From Cross-Validation to SURE: Asymptotic Risk of Tuned Regularized Estimators

arXiv:2603. 20388v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We derive the asymptotic risk function of regularized empirical risk minimization (ERM) estimators tuned by $n$-fold cross-validation (CV).

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

Distribution-free Deviation Bounds and The Role of Domain Knowledge in Learning via Model Selection with Cross-validation Risk Estimation

arXiv:2303. 08777v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Cross-validation is one of the most widely used tools for risk estimation and model selection in statistics and machine learning, yet its theoretical properties when embedded in a learning procedure remain insufficiently understood.

By Diego Marcondes, Cl\'audia Peixoto
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 3

Data- and Variance-dependent Regret Bounds for Online Tabular MDPs

arXiv:2602. 01903v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This work studies online episodic tabular Markov decision processes (MDPs) with known transitions and develops best-of-both-worlds algorithms that achieve refined data-dependent regret bounds in the adversarial regime and variance-dependent regret bounds in the stochastic regime.

By Mingyi Li, Taira Tsuchiya, Kenji Yamanishi
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 20

Fast Best-in-Class Regret for Contextual Bandits

The paper investigates stochastic contextual bandits in an agnostic setting, aiming to compete with the best policy in a given class without assuming realizability or specific loss/reward models. It introduces an algorithm that updates the policy each round by minimizing a pessimistic objective— a clipped inverse‑propensity estimate of the policy value plus a variance penalty— and proves the first fast regret rates relative to the best‑in‑class policy. By exploiting entropy assumptions on the policy class and a H"olderian error‑bound condition, the authors achieve fast best‑in‑class regret rates, including polylogarithmic rates in the parametric case, using a sequential self‑normalized maximal inequality for bounded martingale empirical processes to derive uniform variance‑adaptive confidence bounds and ensure pessimism under adaptive data collection.

By Samuel Girard, Aurelien Bibaut, Arthur Gretton, Nathan Kallus, Houssam Zenati
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 21

From Switching to Dynamic Regret: A Simple Reduction via Unbiased Random Sequences

The paper introduces a straightforward framework that transforms dynamic regret minimization into switching regret minimization by constructing an unbiased random sequence for any comparator sequence. Using this reduction, the authors derive dynamic regret bounds for strongly convex and exp-concave losses of “~O(T^{1/3}P_T^{2/3})” and for general convex losses of “O(√{T(1+P_T)})”, matching known minimax optimal results. The approach leverages off-the-shelf switching regret algorithms and controlled variance to achieve these bounds.

By Yibo Wang, Wenhao Yang, Sifan Yang, Yuanyu Wan, Lijun Zhang