arXiv AI By Ziyue Wang (State Key Laboratory of Multimedia Information Processing, School of Computer Science, Peking University), Aomufei Yuan (Peking University), Yiran Yao (Tianjin University), Linli Yao (State Key Laboratory of Multimedia Information Processing, School of Computer Science, Peking University), Hongyao Zuo (Tianjin University), Ziwen Gong (Hainan University), Yuanxin Liu (State Key Laboratory of Multimedia Information Processing, School of Computer Science, Peking University), Shicheng Li (State Key Laboratory of Multimedia Information Processing, School of Computer Science, Peking University), Yishuo Cai (State Key Laboratory of Multimedia Information Processing, School of Computer Science, Peking University), Tong Yang (Peking University), Xu Sun (State Key Laboratory of Multimedia Information Processing, School of Computer Science, Peking University), Xiaohui Li (Huawei Technologies), Haoli Bai (Huawei Technologies)

What Proves You Wrong: Benchmarking Language Models on Falsifiable Research Ideation

Read the original on arXiv AI →

The paper introduces Lit2Test, a benchmark that evaluates language models’ research idea proposals by requiring each idea to include a falsifiable outcome, thereby making quality decidable. Built from 200 real-paper neighborhoods, the benchmark gathers proposals from four frontier models and compares them via 1,200 blind pairwise judgments, with reliability checks and human calibration. The results show a consistent ranking of the models, driven by test and metric quality rather than fluency, and the authors release the benchmark and related artifacts for public use.

Machine-generated by The Flow from the publisher's headline and feed description — not written or checked by a human. The full article lives at arXiv AI.

arXiv AI
Jul 7

Code Benchmarks Should Prioritize Rigor, Reliability, and Reproducibility

arXiv:2501. 10711v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Code-related benchmarks play a critical role in evaluating large language models (LLMs), yet their quality fundamentally shapes how the community interprets model capabilities.

By Jialun Cao, Yuk-Kit Chan, Zixuan Ling, Wenxuan Wang, Shuqing Li, Mingwei Liu, Ruixi Qiao, Yuting Han, Chaozheng Wang, Boxi Yu, Pinjia He, Shuai Wang, Zibin Zheng, Michael R. Lyu, Shing-Chi Cheung
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 28

Auto-Research Arena: Benchmarking and Advancing Auto-Research in Language Modeling

Auto-Research Arena is a multi-target benchmark designed to evaluate autonomous research systems and uncover new ideas in language modeling. It separates admissibility—determined by model quality and resource constraints—from improvement, using nine diverse targets covering model, data, training, and inference efficiency. The benchmark, applied to language model pretraining, distinguishes existing research harnesses and reveals significant room for improvement, while also enabling the reuse of discovered ideas to achieve lower training loss and better held‑out performance.

By Xi Chen, Chongjian Ge, Yiran Xu, Yiqun Mei, Henrik I. Christensen, Hao Tan, Ziwen Chen, Hanwen Jiang
arXiv AI
Sep 18

What Do We Expect from LLMs? Mapping the Design of LLM Benchmarks

The paper "What Do We Expect from LLMs? Mapping the Design of LLM Benchmarks" analyzes 14,767 arXiv submissions from 2022 to 2026 that introduce or update evaluation resources for large language models. It systematically maps changes in target systems, domains, evaluation materials, conditions, and scoring mechanisms, revealing a growing emphasis on action, interaction, and professional applications. The study also notes uneven development in model participation, with LLM-based scoring increasing in both agent and non-agent groups, while model-generated materials do not show a comparable rise.

By Chao Wang (Independent Researcher)
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 23

Calibration as a First-Class Criterion in LLM Evaluation

The paper argues that calibration—how well a language model’s confidence aligns with its actual correctness—should be a standard evaluation metric for large language models (LLMs). It notes that while calibration metrics exist, they are rarely applied outside specialized NLP subfields, leading to unverified confidence scores in new models, datasets, and benchmarks. The authors highlight the risks of miscalibration both at deployment (overconfident errors causing harm) and in research workflows (affecting LLM-as-a-judge, synthetic data generation, and active learning). They call for every NLP subfield to pair its primary performance metric with a calibration score, treating calibration as an essential property of every model.

By Mario Sanz-Guerrero, Katharina von der Wense