Closed-loop traffic simulation remains challenging because it must generate interactive multi-agent behaviors that are scene-consistent and controllable throughout rollout. Prior diffusion-based approaches achieve strong realism, but their computational cost can hinder deployment in time-constrained replanning loops for autonomous vehicle planning and simulation.
The paper introduces the Markov Chain Car‑Following (MC‑CF) model, an empirical probabilistic approach that represents car‑following as a Markov process and samples accelerations from empirical distributions within discretized state bins. Evaluation on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset shows that MC‑CF variants outperform physics‑based baselines and compete with modern data‑driven methods in both one‑step and open‑loop trajectory prediction. Zero‑shot transfer to the Naturalistic Phoenix dataset and microscopic ring‑road simulations demonstrate cross‑domain generalization and scalability, with the model reducing collisions and reproducing naturalistic shockwave propagation.
By Sungyong Chung, Yanlin Zhang, Nachuan Li, Dana Monzer, Alireza Talebpour
The paper presents a single pretrained diffusion traffic model that serves both as an ego motion planner and as a controllable generator of safety‑critical scenarios for autonomous driving. It introduces a Single‑Stream Dual‑Stream diffusion‑transformer decoder (SSDS) that fuses scene context via joint attention, improving closed‑loop performance on the nuPlan benchmark, and a training‑free guidance scheme called Decoupled Annealing Posterior Sampling with Energy (DAPSE) that injects arbitrary energy functions at inference time. Using the same model, the authors generate realistic long‑tail driving interactions—such as aggressive cut‑ins and lead‑vehicle braking—through inference‑time guidance, exposing failure modes in black‑box planners that standard benchmarks miss.
By Arka Pal, Rajesh Kumar, Hannes Eriksson, R\'emi Lacombe, Arvid Laveno Ling, Ankit Gupta, Maciej Wozniak
arXiv:2606. 31209v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Interactive traffic simulation is a vital world model for autonomous driving.
By Lingyu Xiao, Zexin Feng, Xintao Yan
arXiv:2608.22187v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Modern driving action models are increasingly improved in a self-improvement loop, where a learned world simulator imagines future observations and t...
By Jiaqi Wang, Zhuo Zhang, Haining Guan, Tingguang Zhou, Haowen Cui, Zhongyang Zhu, Yulong Zheng, ChuanYe Wang, Xuefeng Chen, Zhen Yang, Tianchen Deng, Feiyang Tan, Hangning Zhou, Bo Dai, Lixia Shen, Xiwu Chen, Xiyang Wang, Jiajun Zhu
arXiv:2606. 03159v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As autonomous vehicle capabilities advance, the safe evaluation of driving policies in long-tail scenarios remains a critical bottleneck.
By NVIDIA, :, Aarti Basant, Amlan Kar, Despoina Paschalidou, Fangyin Wei, Francesco Ferroni, Guillermo Garcia Cobo, Haithem Turki, Huan Ling, Jaewoo Seo, James Lucas, Jay Zhangjie Wu, Jialiang Wang, Jonathan Lorraine, Jun Gao, Kai He, Katarina Tothova, Kevin Xie, Micha{\l} Tyszkiewicz, Qi Wu, Riccardo de Lutio, Ruilong Li, Sanja Fidler, Seung Wook Kim, Tianchang Shen, Tianshi Cao, Tobias Pfaff, William Lew, Xindi Wu, Xuanchi Ren, Yifan Lu, Yuxuan Zhang, Zan Gojcic, Zian Wang