There Is No Neutral Harness: Modern LLM Leaderboards Are Manufactured by Config-Fragile Items
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The paper investigates how benchmark contamination—leakage of test items into training data—affects large language model (LLM) leaderboards. By comparing original test items with semantically equivalent paraphrases, the authors measure contamination as a violation of anchor-item invariance and find that it inflates absolute scores but rarely changes model rankings. Across 47 public models and 74 finetuned models on four benchmarks, the rank correlation between standard and paraphrase-controlled leaderboards is 0.997, with only a handful of cases showing differential contamination that could alter rankings.
arXiv:2606. 03650v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Choosing or ranking language models for a specific application is hardest when no task-specific labeled data exists, and standard public benchmarks cannot be trusted, their items having likely leaked into pretraining, so scores reflect memorization rather than fitness.
The study investigates whether small differences in leaderboard rankings between large language models (LLMs) are robust to changes in benchmark composition. Using item‑level responses from five benchmarks and a spectral approximation to multidimensional item‑response theory, the authors find that while overall rankings remain highly correlated, a significant portion (30.9–47.1%) of near‑tie pairs reverse order when benchmark items are recomposed based on low differential item functioning. This suggests that sub‑one‑percentage‑point leaderboard gaps may not reliably reflect true model superiority.
arXiv:2608. 15980v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Preference benchmarks are built by hiring annotators, and the identity of those annotators is treated as an implementation detail.
The study analyzes 373,019 judgments from LLM‑scored benchmarks, decomposing variance into system, item, judge, and interaction components via generalizability theory. It finds that with a single judge, generalizability converges to a ceiling determined by the system‑by‑judge variance, which is substantially lower in pairwise preference settings, allowing one judge to suffice. The research also reveals significant biases in presentation order and highlights that many published win‑rate claims fall below the measured floor of the benchmarks.
The paper investigates how the order of candidate documents in a prompt affects the decisions made by large‑language‑model (LLM) scorers, even when their ranking quality is similar. It shows that five scorers with only a 0.010 nDCG@10 difference can produce retained‑set overlaps as low as 0.66–0.84, and that existing rerankers still exhibit significant order dependence. The authors propose Order‑Consistency SFT (OC‑SFT), a training method that reduces this dependence, maintaining ranking quality while improving decision stability across multiple tasks.