arXiv Machine Learning By Yasaman Cheraghi (Department of Energy and Petroleum Engineering, University of Stavanger, Norway), Reidar B. Bratvold (Department of Energy and Petroleum Engineering, University of Stavanger, Norway), Aojie Hong (Independent Researcher, Stavanger, Norway), Ressi B. Muhammad (Department of Energy and Petroleum Engineering, University of Stavanger, Norway), Sergey Alyaev (NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bergen, Norway)

Strategic Investment Decision Making for Value Creation in Energy Transition: A Reinforcement Learning Approach

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The paper presents a reinforcement learning framework for strategic investment decisions in the energy transition, aiming to balance profit, CO2 social costs, and competitive advantage across oil & gas, renewables, and CO2 reduction sectors. A custom simulation environment models the dynamic energy landscape up to 2050, allowing the RL agent to learn optimal policies that adapt to uncertainties in production, prices, and costs. Benchmarking shows the RL strategy consistently outperforms manually defined baseline policies in adaptability and long-term value creation.

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