The paper investigates whether the text of chain‑of‑thought reasoning steps actually reflects their true importance for a model’s final answer. By defining step importance as the advantage in expected reward when a step is included, the authors use Monte Carlo rollouts to estimate ground truth and then test whether large language model judges can identify high‑advantage steps. They find that capable LLMs can beat a prevalence baseline but still fall far short of a noise ceiling, and that fine‑tuning a step‑level critic improves detection for incorrect responses but remains distant from the ceiling for correct ones, indicating that step importance is only partially recoverable from the reasoning trace text.
By Kevin Du, Alexander Hoyle, Laura Ruis, Acyr Locatelli
arXiv:2507.21931v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) often produce plausible but poorly-calibrated answers, limiting their reliability on reasoning-intensive tasks....
By Carel van Niekerk, Renato Vukovic, Benjamin Ruppik, Hsien-chin Lin, Shutong Feng, Milica Ga\v{s}i\'c
arXiv:2606. 11209v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Visual question answering increasingly requires multi-step reasoning.
By Jingpei Wu, Xiao Han, Weixiang Shen, Boer Zhang, Zifeng Ding, Volker Tresp
arXiv:2606. 01080v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models often improve on difficult tasks by spending inference-time compute on a reasoning trace before producing the final answer.
By Dhruv Saini, Rohan Pandey
arXiv:2609.21492v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning has been shown to improve the performance of large language models (LLMs), yet existing optimization methods largely r...
By Jingyu Hu, Shu Yang, Weiru Liu, Di Wang
arXiv:2607. 23700v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multimodal large language models exhibit capabilities on reasoning tasks, yet often produce flawed intermediate steps while yielding correct final answers.
By Wendi Deng, Hang Du, Guoshun Nan, Haokun Tian, Jiaqi Yu, Xinlei Cao, Jaile Li, Jingfeng Chen, Ling Deng, Ting Li, Hao Yang, Jun Liu, Xudong Jiang, Sicong Leng