arXiv AI By David Szczecina

Risk-Aware Decision Policies for Agents Under Noisy Perception

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arXiv:2608. 06420v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Perception in biological systems is inherently noisy, requiring organisms to make decisions under uncertainty where misclassification can be costly or fatal.

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arXiv AI
Aug 19

Quantifying Risk Under Evolving Uncertainty: Belief-Dependent Robustness for Safe Sequential Decision Making

The paper introduces RATTL (Risk-Adversarial Total-Reward Learning), a framework that adjusts an agent’s caution based on epistemic uncertainty by using a Bayesian posterior over dynamics and a Wasserstein ambiguity set whose radius depends on that posterior. As evidence accumulates, the radius shrinks, smoothly transitioning the agent’s behavior from worst-case robustness to risk-neutral reward maximization. The authors prove a Safety Sandwich theorem showing RATTL’s value lies between the uninformed robust value and the full-knowledge optimum, and demonstrate the method on a binary-hazard example where the criterion reduces to Conditional Value-at-Risk.

By Deep Kumar Ganguly, Jan Kretinsky