arXiv Machine Learning By Xiaotian Chang, Yangdi Jiang, Qirui Hu

Riemannian Simultaneous Inference for Tangent Vector Field Regression

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The paper develops a nonparametric kernel estimator for tangent vector field regression on a Riemannian manifold without boundary, using parallel transport to align responses before averaging. It derives uniform bias, covariance, and stochastic rates, and constructs a simultaneous confidence tube by whitening the tangent norm into a unit‑variance Gaussian field, whose Gumbel limit yields an explicit intrinsic constant. The method is validated through simulations on various manifolds and applied to reconstruct global wind data, demonstrating spatially varying uncertainty.

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