arXiv AI
Sep 18

Cross-Sectional Asset Retrieval via Future-Aligned Soft Contrastive Learning

The paper introduces Future‑Aligned Soft Contrastive Learning (FASCL), a representation learning framework that uses pairwise future return correlations as continuous supervision to improve asset retrieval. FASCL’s soft contrastive loss aligns retrieved assets with correlated future returns, and the authors propose a new evaluation protocol to directly assess future trajectory similarity. Experiments on 5,631 US‑listed securities outperform 14 baselines in future return correlation, rank information coefficient, trend consistency, and gross Sharpe ratio across various retrieval depths and basket sizes.

By Hyeongmin Lee, Chanyeol Choi, Jihoon Kwon, Yoon Kim, Alejandro Lopez-Lira, Wonbin Ahn, Justin Xu, Srijan Sood, Qingsong Wen, Chun-Li Yang, Yongjae Lee
arXiv AI
Sep 10

EXAONE Finance 1.0: An Attention-free Time Series Foundation Model for Financial Time Series

arXiv:2609.04239v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This technical report presents EXAONE Forecast for Finance (EXAONE Finance), a financial time series foundation model (TSFM) tailored to financial...

By Seunghan Lee, Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5

Is attention truly all we need? An empirical study of asset pricing in pretrained RNN sparse and global attention models

arXiv:2508. 19006v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This study investigates the pre-trained RNN attention models with the mainstream attention mechanisms, such as additive attention, Luong's three attentions, global self-attention and sliding window sparse attention, for the empirical asset pricing research on the top 420 large-cap US stocks.

By Shanyan Lai
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 2

Beyond Model Ranking: Regime Diagnosis for Distributional-Statistical Misspecification in Industrial Time-Series Forecasting

The paper introduces a regime‑diagnosis framework for industrial time‑series forecasting, highlighting that canonical loss functions embed fixed statistical priors that are violated in real‑world demand regimes such as zero‑inflation, skewness, and high variability. It proposes the Regime‑wise Relative Bias Vector (RBV) as a metric‑agnostic diagnostic that decomposes bias into an intrinsic floor and an excess attributable to training. A large‑scale study across 13 loss objectives and 60,000+ series demonstrates that regime‑aware diagnosis distinguishes optimization‑from‑bias failures and that regime‑aware training can eliminate pooling‑induced bias that mere capacity scaling cannot.

By Pengyu Nie, Chenglang Xu, Yaoshi Chen, Chaogan Ren, Wei Hu, Chao Yang, Jiangong Zhang