arXiv:2606. 27711v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce a neural network-based framework for learning time series estimators through a process we term decision-theoretic pretraining.
By Pablo Montero-Manso, Marcel Scharth
arXiv:2607. 14937v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Recent foundation models (FMs) for zero-shot reconstruction of dynamical systems (DS) achieve strong out-of-domain generalization but provide little insight into the mechanisms that underlie their forecasts.
By Christoph J\"urgen Hemmer, Florian Plaswig, Daniel Durstewitz
arXiv:2606. 04342v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multi-step time series forecasting (MSF) is commonly evaluated using point-wise error metrics such as mean squared error (MSE), implicitly treating the conditional mean as a sufficient target.
By Riku Green, Zahraa S. Abdallah, Telmo M Silva Filho
arXiv:2602. 12756v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently shown exceptional potential in time series forecasting (TSF), leveraging their inherent sequential reasoning capabilities to model complex temporal dynamics.
By Xingyu Zhang, Jingyao Wang, Zeen Song, Changwen Zheng, Wenwen Qiang
arXiv:2606. 28670v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce MACROCAST, a lightweight Time Series Foundation Model (TSFM) for real-time macroeconomic forecasting.
By Andrea Carriero, Davide Pettenuzzo, Shubhranshu Shekhar
arXiv:2606. 01999v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Modern deep learning models for forecasting groups of time series rely on increasingly longer observation windows.
By Luca Butera, Giovanni De Felice, Andrea Cini, Cesare Alippi