arXiv Machine Learning By Zhaolin Gao (Sid), Yu (Sid), Wang, Bo Liu, Thorsten Joachims, Kiant\'e Brantley, Wen Sun

$p1$: Better Prompt Optimization with Fewer Prompts

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The paper investigates why prompt optimization works better for some tasks than others by decomposing reward variance into response variance and system‑prompt variance. It finds that optimization succeeds when system‑prompt variance dominates, and that adding more user prompts can actually reduce this variance, especially on heterogeneous datasets. To address this, the authors propose $p1$, a filtering method that selects a small set of high‑variance user prompts, which improves optimization on reasoning benchmarks and even allows a system prompt trained on just two AIME 24 prompts to generalize well.

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