arXiv:2606. 13285v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce Equilibrium State Estimation (ESE), a novel paradigm for simultaneous prediction, where multiple interacting systems require separate yet coordinated forecasts.
By Beinan Xu, Andy Song, Jiti Gao, Feng Liu
arXiv:2607. 21681v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurately modeling cross-variate dependencies remains a key challenge in multivariate time series forecasting, particularly in the presence of strong periodic patterns.
By Awsaf Tausif Adib, Md. Shahria Sarker Shuvo, Md. Estehaar Ahmed Emon, Mustafa Kamal, Fuad Rahman, Shafin Rahman, Nabeel Mohammed
arXiv:2608. 17079v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction intervals but relies on exchangeability, an assumption often violated in economic forecasting because of covariate shift, concept drift, local heterogeneity and latent regimes.
By Bogdan Oancea
arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.
By Amrijit Biswas, Mustafa Kamal, Robin Krambroeckers, M. M. Lutfe Elahi, Sifat Momen, Nabeel Mohammed, Shafin Rahman
arXiv:2407. 00890v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper presents a comparative analysis evaluating the accuracy of Large Language Models (LLMs) against traditional macro time series forecasting approaches.
By Andrea Carriero, Davide Pettenuzzo, Shubhranshu Shekhar
arXiv:2608. 04051v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world time series are often governed by recurring patterns, but their dominant periods may vary across datasets, forecasting settings, and individual input windows.
By Jung Min Choi, Vijaya Krishna yalavarthi, Lars Schmidt-Thieme