arXiv:2606. 24347v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate short-term PM$_{2.
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arXiv:2608. 09775v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate air quality forecasting is essential for public health and urban environmental management, but remains challenging because pollutant channels differ in periodicity and distribution drift, while their concentration trajectories contain both multi-scale dependencies and rapid changes.
We present Varda-single-1.0, a medium-range data-driven weather prediction system built for the Alpine domain. It provides hourly deterministic regional forecasts on a mesh of 1 km resolution and glob...
arXiv:2610.00370v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Station weather forecasting is fundamentally shaped by both complex spatial dependencies across stations and strong physical coupling among weather v...
Varda‑single‑1.0 is a medium‑range, data‑driven weather prediction system designed for Switzerland’s Alpine region, delivering hourly deterministic forecasts at 1 km resolution and global forecasts at 31 km. It uses two independently trained stretched‑grid Graph Transformer models—an autoregressive forecaster and a temporal downscaler—trained through a curriculum that starts with ERA5 reanalysis, proceeds to a 20‑year regional reanalysis, and ends with fine‑tuning on operational analyses. Over a one‑year verification, Varda‑single matches or surpasses MeteoSwiss’s numerical weather prediction baselines for most key metrics, though it underestimates local wind peaks and produces smoother convective precipitation fields. whyItMatters":"The system demonstrates that high‑resolution machine‑learning models can rival traditional numerical weather prediction in complex terrain, offering a complementary tool for operational forecasting and research."
This study presents a new mobile‑sensing dataset from Surat, India, capturing PM2.5 concentrations along with meteorological and land‑use variables. The authors model the data as a graph using two node‑definition strategies—uniform segmentation and DBSCAN clustering—and introduce a Spatially Attentive Graph Neural Network (SA‑GNN) that combines cluster‑specific GRUs with a Graph Attention Network to forecast fine‑grained, short‑term PM2.5 levels. SA‑GNN outperforms traditional LSTM, RNN, GRU, and ANN baselines, achieving an R² of 0.95, RMSE of 6.8, and MAE of 4.2 µg/m³ on the dataset.
arXiv:2511. 23043v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We present a probabilistic data-driven weather model providing ensembles of high spatial resolution realizations of 87 variables at arbitrary ensemble size and forecast length.