arXiv AI By Wenbin Mao, Pei Zou

Minimum Description Length Unsupervisedly Separates Law-Grade from Statistical-Grade Knowledge in a Self-Improving Science Agent - and Reveals 86% of Its Own Discoveries Are Statistical

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The paper reports on a self‑improving science agent that has admitted 252 scientific relations and uses Minimum Description Length (MDL) compression ratios as an unsupervised epistemic grader. The MDL‑ranked top discoveries match canonical physical laws (e.g., vis‑vis‑a, Balmer/Rydberg) with strong statistical enrichment and no counterexamples, while 86 % of the agent’s ledger entries compress poorly (cr≈1) and are identified as statistical regularities rather than true laws. The study introduces a dual‑axis bookkeeping system separating prediction value (R²) from compression value (cr), demonstrates its robustness, and presents falsifiable predictions.

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