arXiv Machine Learning By Vahe Karagulyan, Miko{\l}aj Kasprzak, Pierre Alquier

Minimax estimation of the pseudo-spectral gap of continuous Markov chains, with applications to empirical concentration bounds

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arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 20

Fast Best-in-Class Regret for Contextual Bandits

The paper investigates stochastic contextual bandits in an agnostic setting, aiming to compete with the best policy in a given class without assuming realizability or specific loss/reward models. It introduces an algorithm that updates the policy each round by minimizing a pessimistic objective— a clipped inverse‑propensity estimate of the policy value plus a variance penalty— and proves the first fast regret rates relative to the best‑in‑class policy. By exploiting entropy assumptions on the policy class and a H"olderian error‑bound condition, the authors achieve fast best‑in‑class regret rates, including polylogarithmic rates in the parametric case, using a sequential self‑normalized maximal inequality for bounded martingale empirical processes to derive uniform variance‑adaptive confidence bounds and ensure pessimism under adaptive data collection.

By Samuel Girard, Aurelien Bibaut, Arthur Gretton, Nathan Kallus, Houssam Zenati
arXiv Statistics ML
Oct 26

Empirical concentration for chains with infinite memory

The paper presents empirical concentration inequalities for stationary chains with infinite memory, extending previous results that were limited to Markov chains. It establishes a bounded‑differences inequality under a summable Wasserstein contraction condition and shows how to estimate the necessary dependence coefficients from a single trajectory, using transition counts for finite state spaces or kernel density derivatives for continuous spaces. The authors provide general error bounds that reflect the memory tail and demonstrate that, after applying a fixed safety factor, the resulting empirical bounds are asymptotically as tight as the theoretical ones, while remaining fully adaptive without requiring knowledge of the underlying constants.

By Pierre Alquier, Paul Doukhan
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 8

Asymptotic Optimality of Thompson Sampling for Risk-Averse Bandits with Sub-Gaussian Rewards

We prove that $ρ\text{-}\mathrm{NPTS}_{\mathrm{SG}}$, an anchor-free nonparametric Thompson Sampling algorithm for risk-averse bandits, achieves regret matching the instance-dependent lower bound to leading order in $\log n$, establishing it as asymptotically optimal for any continuous risk functional $ρ$ (CVaR, mean-variance, Sharpe ratio, distortion risk measures, and more) on the class of distributions with bounded density and sub-Gaussian tails, including Gaussian arms. Both this result and its bounded-support counterpart require only continuity of $ρ$: strictly weaker than the dominance condition of prior parametric Thompson Sampling results, and strictly weaker than the Lipschitz condition of UCB-type algorithms, yielding the first instance-optimal guarantees for non-Lipschitz functionals such as the Sharpe ratio without parametric reward assumptions.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 9

Asymptotic Optimality of Thompson Sampling for Risk-Averse Bandits with Sub-Gaussian Rewards

arXiv:2606. 09191v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We prove that $\rho\text{-}\mathrm{NPTS}_{\mathrm{SG}}$, an anchor-free nonparametric Thompson Sampling algorithm for risk-averse bandits, achieves regret matching the instance-dependent lower bound to leading order in $\log n$, establishing it as asymptotically optimal for any continuous risk functional $\rho$ (CVaR, mean-variance, Sharpe ratio, distortion risk measures, and more) on the class of distributions with bounded density and sub-Gaussian tails, including Gaussian arms.

By Joel Q. L. Chang