arXiv:2608. 13082v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Generative models of limit orderbook (LOB) data have advanced rapidly, but their evaluation often focuses on stylised facts and selected market statistics.
By Andreea Bacalum, Zhuohan Wang, Ollie Olby, Martin Garaj, Namid Stillman
DualCast is a dual‑path language model that forecasts financial time‑series by combining a fast numerical forecaster with an optional text‑conditioned revision mechanism. The fast path trains only new financial‑token embeddings and output heads on a frozen Qwen3‑8B backbone, while the slow path uses a LoRA adapter to incorporate news and refine predictions. In zero‑shot tests across equities and energy prices at multiple time resolutions, the slow path achieves the lowest mean absolute percentage error in most settings, especially for longer horizons, and news ablations show additional gains in many markets.
By Wentao Zhao, Hongqiang Wu, Shanghang Liu, Zhaochen Zan, Yu Zhang, Biqing Huang
arXiv:2606. 29347v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Adaptive Financial Transformer (AFT) is proposed for stock return prediction under non-stationary financial markets.
By Dishan Sarkar
The paper introduces Temporal Kolmogorov‑Arnold Networks (T‑KAN) for forecasting high‑frequency limit order book data, replacing fixed linear weights in LSTMs with learnable B‑spline activation functions. This approach captures the shape of market signals, yielding a 19.1% relative improvement in F1‑score at a 100‑step horizon and a 132.48% return versus a -82.76% drawdown for DeepLOB under 1.0 bps transaction costs. T‑KAN also offers interpretability through visible dead‑zones in the splines and is optimized for low‑latency FPGA deployment via High‑Level Synthesis.
By Ahmad Makinde
arXiv:2607. 13929v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial observations are continuous, heterogeneous, and noisy, whereas decoder-only next-token models are usually built around discrete symbolic inputs.
By Yiming Ma, Xinyu Chen
META (Memory Enhanced Trading Agent) is a new agent-based trading framework that augments large language models with episodic memory. It combines specialized indicator agents—such as Trend, MACD, Stochastic, RSI, SMA, AVWAP, and Heikin‑Ashi—with a Decision Agent that fuses their reports, while a Memory module retrieves and updates past trading episodes encoded as market state embeddings with outcomes and reflections. By recalling relevant experiences and adaptively reweighting signals under similar market regimes, META improves directional accuracy and robustness in short‑horizon evaluations, offering regime‑aware, interpretable, and low‑latency decision‑making for financial trading.
By Nuoyue Xu, Jiang Liu, Wenxuan Huang, Xiang Zhang, Juntai Cao, Jiaqi Wei