arXiv Machine Learning By Joel Pfeffer (Allora Foundation), J. M. Diederik Kruijssen (Allora Foundation), Florian Stecker (Allora Foundation), Steven N. Longmore (Allora Foundation, LJMU)

Introducing the CZAR Loss: A Tailored Objective Function for Financial Log-Return Predictions

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arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

Financially Guided Deep Portfolio Optimization

arXiv:2605.28853v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction cos...

By Rahul Fernandes, Travis Desell
arXiv AI
Aug 5

FinVerse: Financial Time-Series Benchmark

arXiv:2608. 03259v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As time-series foundation models have emerged, the need for benchmarks that can evaluate their forecasting ability in meaningful ways has become increasingly important.

By Jaehoon Lee, Jun Seo, Seunghan Lee, Tae Yoon Lim, Dongwan Kang, Hwanil Choi, Minjae Kim, Sungdong Yoo, Junhyeok Kang, Sangjun Han, Soonyoung Lee, Wonbin Ahn
arXiv Computation and Language
4d ago

Can Language Models Learn to Forecast Stock Prices

arXiv:2609.36914v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Post-training has been shown to significantly improve language models' performance on tasks with verifiable outcomes, including mathematical reasoning,...

By Jiacheng Guo, Suozhi Huang, Shuzhen Li, Yunlong Gao, Zerui Cheng, Jason Ge, Shushu Liang, Zihao Li, Hao Lu, Ming Yin, Shilong Liu, Jiashuo Liu, Xu Kuang, Mengdi Wang
arXiv AI
Aug 17

Forecast Collapse in Time-Series Foundation Models

arXiv:2608. 14106v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: When forecasting hourly returns for 1,000 US equities, we observe an unexpected phenomenon: predictions become nearly flat and show poor stock ranking, as measured by cross-sectional correlation.

By Shu Wan, Miles Ma, Hank Zhu, Guangqi Liu, Stephen Wang, Qingsong Wen, Huan Liu