arXiv AI By Donggyu Lee, Hyeok Yun, Jungwon Kim, Junsik Min, Sungwon Park, Sangyoon Park, Jihee Kim

Ideological Bias in LLMs' Economic Causal Reasoning

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arXiv:2604. 21334v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Do large language models (LLMs) exhibit systematic ideological bias when reasoning about economic causal effects?

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arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 1

Political Ideology Shifts in Large Language Models

arXiv:2508.16013v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in politically sensitive contexts, raising concerns about their susceptibility to ideologica...

By Pietro Bernardelle, Stefano Civelli, Leon Fr\"ohling, Riccardo Lunardi, Kevin Roitero, Gianluca Demartini
arXiv AI
Aug 26

From Causal Plausibility to Causal Reliability: Evaluating LLMs as Calibrated Direct Causal-Edge Classifiers

The study evaluates 12 instruction‑tuned open‑weight LLMs on six causal‑graph benchmarks, testing five prompting strategies and four confidence sources. Findings show that LLMs tend to over‑predict edges, misclassify indirect or reversed edges as direct, and exhibit high over‑confidence, while conventional confidence estimates are unreliable and agreement signals offer limited improvement. The results suggest LLMs should be used as externally validated soft causal priors rather than definitive causal‑structure evidence.

By Amit Kumar, Elnur Adl Zarabi, Suranjana Trivedy, Zhiqian Chen, Lei Zhang, Kaiqun Fu, Taoran Ji