arXiv:2507. 00719v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Typically, numerical simulations of Earth systems are coarse, and Earth observations are sparse and gappy.
By Anantha Narayanan Suresh Babu, Akhil Sadam, Pierre F. J. Lermusiaux
This study introduces the first controlled benchmark of generative models for weather data assimilation using real station observations from 11,849 NOAA MADIS stations across the U.S. It evaluates key design choices—diffusion vs. flow matching, pixel vs. latent-space formulations, and inference-time conditioning strategies—against a classical 3D-Var baseline. The benchmark finds that learned generative priors and full-gradient guidance improve RMSE over ERA5, while other design variations offer minimal benefit, especially under sparse observation conditions.
By Ruizhe Huang, Qidong Yang, Jonathan Giezendanner, Sherrie Wang
arXiv:2606. 30821v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic downscaling is the task of modeling the conditional distribution of high-resolution fields given coarse inputs, and is a central challenge to atmospheric science, climate modeling, and other multiscale physical systems.
By Yujin Kim, Nidhi Soma, Sarah Dean
arXiv:2602. 13416v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The proliferation of data-driven models in weather and climate sciences has marked a significant paradigm shift, with advanced models demonstrating exceptional skill in medium-range forecasting.
By Haiwen Guan, Dibyajyoti Chakraborty, Moein Darman, Troy Arcomano, Ashesh Chattopadhyay, Romit Maulik
arXiv:2608. 05103v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Data assimilation (DA) uses Bayesian inference to update the state of a numerical forecast model with observed data.
By Dibyajyoti Chakraborty, Romit Maulik
arXiv:2608. 05103v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Data assimilation (DA) uses Bayesian inference to update the state of a numerical forecast model with observed data.
By Dibyajyoti Chakraborty, Romit Maulik