Hugging Face Trending Papers

Gaussian Mean Field Variational Inference can Overestimate Predictive Variance

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Mean Field Variational Inference (MFVI) is widely understood to underestimate posterior variance. By analysing conjugate Bayesian Linear Regression (BLR), we show that this characterization is incomplete: while MFVI underestimates the variance in parameter space, it can overestimate the predictive variance compared to the exact posterior.

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arXiv AI
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arXiv Machine Learning
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A Flexible Empirical Bayes Approach to Generalized Linear Models, with Applications to Sparse Logistic Regression

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By Dongyue Xie, Matthew Stephens