The thesis presents a domain‑specific automated feature engineering pipeline, AutoEnergy, for energy consumption forecasting. AutoEnergy generates interpretable features from timestamps and lagged consumption, integrates with AutoML, and achieves 19.52%–84.72% error reductions across eighteen real‑world datasets while running 1.31–4.41 times faster than baseline methods. When combined with Decision‑Focused Learning for battery storage, it cuts operating costs by 22.9%–56.5% on a UK property dataset.
By Nasser Alkhulaifi
The paper introduces an adaptive Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) framework for time series forecasting that incorporates expert-specific losses to give each expert a direct learning signal independent of gating weights. The overall objective combines base forecasting loss with these expert losses, encouraging experts to specialize on different temporal segments. A partial online learning strategy is added for efficient incremental updates, and experiments on economic, tourism, and energy datasets show the method outperforms state‑of‑the‑art neural models and foundation models, with ablation studies confirming the benefit of expert loss integration.
By Btissame El Mahtout, Florian Ziel
arXiv:2610.27155v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Accurate multi-horizon photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is essential for grid stability, energy scheduling, and the efficient operation of PVbattery...
By Shafi Bin Sultan, Sabik Bin Sultan, Mohammad Tajrian Arafat Alvi, Rayhanul Islam Sony, Abdulah Al Numan
The paper introduces Li‑Net, a new architecture for multi‑channel time series forecasting that captures both linear and non‑linear dependencies among channels. Li‑Net compresses representations across sequence and channel dimensions, processes them with a configurable non‑linear module, and reconstructs forecasts while integrating a sparse Top‑K Softmax attention mechanism within a multi‑scale projection framework. Experiments on real‑world benchmarks show that Li‑Net matches state‑of‑the‑art accuracy while using less memory and achieving faster inference, with ablation studies confirming the contribution of each component.
By Lei Gao, Hengda Bao, Jingfei Fang, Guangzheng Wu, Weihua Zhou, Yun Zhou
The paper introduces TiMi, a framework that enhances time series transformers with a Multimodal Mixture-of-Experts (MMoE) module to incorporate multimodal data, especially textual information, into forecasting. TiMi leverages large language models to generate future inferences that guide predictions, eliminating the need for explicit representation alignment. Experiments show TiMi achieves state‑of‑the‑art performance on sixteen real‑world multimodal forecasting benchmarks, outperforming advanced baselines while maintaining adaptability and interpretability.
By Jiafeng Lin, Yuxuan Wang, Huakun Luo, Jianmin Wang, Zhongyi Pei
arXiv:2511. 09789v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Short-term energy forecasting plays an important role in real-time operational decision-making, such as electricity market bidding and power system dispatch, where both numerical accuracy and correct directional signals are essential.
By Fulong Yao, Wanqing Zhao, Chao Zheng, Xiaofei Han