arXiv Machine Learning By Bogdan Oancea

Dynamic Regime-Aware Conformal Calibration for Reliable Economic Forecast Intervals under Multiple Distribution Shifts

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arXiv:2608. 17079v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction intervals but relies on exchangeability, an assumption often violated in economic forecasting because of covariate shift, concept drift, local heterogeneity and latent regimes.

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