arXiv AI By Patrik P. S\"uli, Gy\"orgy Eigner, Roland Holl\'os

Distribird: Literature-Informed Prior Distribution Design for Bayesian Model Calibration

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arXiv:2608. 11210v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bayesian calibration of process-based models requires a prior distribution for each model parameter.

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arXiv AI
Aug 11

Model Discovery Agent: LLM-assisted Bayesian experiment design for data-efficient discovery of mechanistic world models

arXiv:2608. 09696v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predicting the answer to interventional ``what if'' questions --- the outcome of an action never taken --- requires a \emph{mechanistic}, causal model, not a curve fit; and learning such a model requires \emph{experiments}, because passive data leaves its mechanisms unidentified.

By Kevin Murphy
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 10

Model Discovery Agent: LLM-assisted Bayesian experiment design for data-efficient discovery of mechanistic world models

Predicting the answer to interventional ``what if'' questions --- the outcome of an action never taken --- requires a \emph{mechanistic}, causal model, not a curve fit; and learning such a model requires \emph{experiments}, because passive data leaves its mechanisms unidentified. Experiments are expensive, so the central problem is \emph{data efficiency}.