arXiv:2602. 20459v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Can AI systems trained on the existing scientific record forecast the advances that will follow?
By Anirudh Ajith, Amanpreet Singh, Jay DeYoung, Nadav Kunievsky, Austin C. Kozlowski, Oyvind Tafjord, James Evans, Daniel S. Weld, Tom Hope, Doug Downey
Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have recently emerged as a highly promising paradigm for cross-domain zero-shot forecasting. However, existing evaluation protocols predominantly rely on static benchmarks with fixed historical test windows.
LiveHouse-TS introduces an open‑world living benchmark for Time Series Foundation Models, evaluating them prequentially on real future data rather than static test windows. The benchmark captures continuous performance across seasonal changes, distribution shifts, and unexpected events, providing a more realistic assessment of model robustness. Experiments across 11 domains and 17 datasets show that model rankings can dramatically change under this live protocol.
By Haomin Wen, Ziyu Zhou, Qingxiang Liu, Siru Zhong, Yuxuan Liang
arXiv:2609.26361v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: With the rapid pace of AI research and the hundreds of daily new publications, staying up-to-date with the latest developments has become increasingl...
By Emilien Guandalino, Lorenz K. M\"uller, Beatrice Alessandra Motetti, Konstantin Berestizshevsky, Lukas Cavigelli
arXiv:2606. 27539v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Social media popularity prediction aims to forecast the future reach or influence of online content from early-stage observations.
By Utkarsh Sahu, Zhisheng Qi, Li Zhu, Yizhao Yang, Jun Li, Ryan Rossi, Yu Wang
arXiv:2608. 05742v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate time series forecasting presents unique challenges because future variables often co-evolve under shared system dynamics.
By Kuiye Ding, Yifan Hu, Hanchen Wang, Hao Xue