arXiv Machine Learning By Alhad Sethi, Kavali Sofia Sagar, Shubhada Agrawal, Debabrota Basu, P. N. Karthik

Asymptotically Optimal Sequential Testing with Markovian Data

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arXiv:2602. 17587v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study one-sided and $\alpha$-correct sequential hypothesis testing for data generated by an ergodic, finite-state Markov chain.

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arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5

Multi-Armed Sequential Hypothesis Testing by Betting

arXiv:2603. 17925v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We consider a variant of sequential testing by betting where, at each time step, the statistician is presented with multiple data sources (arms) and obtains data by choosing one of the arms.

By Ricardo J. Sandoval, Ian Waudby-Smith, Michael I. Jordan
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 3

On Cost-Aware Designs for Sequential Hypothesis Testing

The paper introduces Cost-Aware Sequential Hypothesis Testing (CASHT), where a decision-maker selects sensing actions with varying random costs to identify the true hypothesis under an average-error constraint while minimizing expected total cost. For fixed costs, the optimal expected total cost scales as Θ(log(1/δ)) and can be achieved by Multihypothesis Sequential Probability Ratio Test-based procedures. The authors extend the framework to random costs under ex-post and ex-ante revelation models, analyze when action cancellation reduces cost, and demonstrate through simulations that CA variants consistently lower total cost compared to classical methods.

By George Vershinin, Asaf Cohen, Omer Gurewitz
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 17

Next-token functional estimation

Suppose we observe the first $n$ points of a sequence of random variables having length $n+1$, and wish to estimate a functional of the unobserved final point and the empirical measure of the $n$ obse...