arXiv AI By Graham Clyne, Guillaume Couairon, Guillaume Gastineau, Claire Monteleoni, Anastase Charantonis

ArchesClimate: Probabilistic Decadal Ensemble Generation With Flow Matching

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arXiv:2509. 15942v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Internal variability is a dominant contributor to the uncertainty of predictions at the interannual to decadal timescale.

Summary generated by The Flow from the publisher's feed. The full article lives at arXiv AI.

arXiv AI
Jul 7

Evaluating Skill and Stability of ArchesWeather and ArchesWeatherGen under Multi-Decadal Climate Simulations

arXiv:2605. 29976v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We evaluate the climate simulation capabilities of ArchesWeather and ArchesWeatherGen, two machine learning models originally trained for weather forecasting and evaluated up to a 10-day lead time.

By Renu Singh, Robert Brunstein, Antonia Jost, Yana Hasson, Thomas Rackow, Claire Monteleoni, Christian Lessig, Guillaume Couairon
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 17

Optimal scenario design for climate emulation

As deep learning for physical systems continues to grow in popularity, efforts to improve generalizability have primarily focused on designing architectures that embed physical constraints. However, for machine-learning surrogate climate models (emulators), we show that the low structural diversity in existing scenarios commonly used to generate training data places a ceiling on predictive skill.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

Optimal scenario design for climate emulation

arXiv:2606. 19302v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As deep learning for physical systems continues to grow in popularity, efforts to improve generalizability have primarily focused on designing architectures that embed physical constraints.

By Christopher B. Womack, Shahine Bouabid, Andrei Sokolov, Popat Salunke, Glenn Flierl, Sebastian D. Eastham, Noelle E. Selin
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 14

How Can Machine Learning Emulators Best Support Climate Science?

arXiv:2603. 22320v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: For decades, physics-based climate models have been used to provide insights for climate decision-making.

By Luca Schmidt, Nina Effenberger, Vitus Benson, Philine L. Bommer, Robert Brunstein, Mikel N. Legasa, Maxim Samarin, Maybritt Schillinger