arXiv Machine Learning By Jungbin Jun, Ilsang Ohn

Adaptive Bayesian Online Learning via Expert Aggregation

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

arXiv:2607. 20239v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Bayesian online learning promises uncertainty-aware prediction on data streams, but its performance hinges on inferential choices, including learning rates, prior distributions and variational families, which are usually fixed before seeing the stream.

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arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 19

Weighted Bayesian Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2604. 06464v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Conformal prediction provides distribution-free prediction intervals with finite-sample coverage guarantees, and recent work by Snell \& Griffiths reframes it as Bayesian Quadrature (BQ-CP), yielding powerful data-conditional guarantees via Dirichlet posteriors over thresholds.

By Xiayin Lou, Peng Luo
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

Robust Bayes-Assisted Conformal Prediction

arXiv:2607. 04236v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Bayes-assisted conformal prediction combines the strengths of Bayesian modelling with exact, distribution-free frequentist coverage guarantees.

By Kianoosh Ashouritaklimi, Stefano Cortinovis, Fran\c{c}ois Caron