The Flow has not summarised this story yet — read it at arXiv Statistics ML.
The paper introduces a new framework for identifying average dose-response functions in the presence of unmeasured confounding by using instrumental variables. It defines a uniform regular weighting function and partitions the treatment space into open sets where local identification is possible. For estimation, the authors propose an augmented inverse probability weighted score within a debiased machine learning setting, along with practical guidance for constructing weighting functions, falsification tests for the additive IV condition, and asymptotic theory for kernel regression or empirical risk minimization estimators.
arXiv:2609.22383v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Instrumental variable (IV) methods address treatment endogeneity, but with non-compliance and heterogeneous treatment effects a binary instrument gen...
arXiv:2505. 17961v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Causal inference typically assumes centralized access to individual-level data.
arXiv:2404. 02141v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In both observational data and randomized control trials, researchers select statistical models to articulate how the outcome of interest varies with combinations of observable covariates.
arXiv:2606. 19643v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Motivated by the privacy, sensitivity and sharing limitations of health data, we present a comprehensive pipeline for inference of Bayesian mixture models within a federated learning setting, i.
arXiv:2511. 00217v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce Gradient Boosted Mixed Models (GBMixed), a framework which extends boosting to clustered data by jointly modeling the mean and variance components in a linear mixed model via likelihood-based gradients.