Multi-Armed Bernoulli Bandits via Minimax Single-Arm Stopping
arXiv:2609. 22690v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We develop an index policy for finite-horizon Bernoulli multi-armed bandits from minimax solutions to single-arm bandit (SAB) problems.
arXiv:2512. 09850v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We introduce Conformal Bandits, a novel framework integrating Conformal Prediction (CP) into bandit problems, a classic paradigm for sequential decision-making under uncertainty.
arXiv:2609. 22690v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We develop an index policy for finite-horizon Bernoulli multi-armed bandits from minimax solutions to single-arm bandit (SAB) problems.
arXiv:2602.10727v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Rising Multi-Armed Bandits (RMABs) model sequential decision problems where each arm's expected reward improves with repeated pulls. In such proble...
arXiv:2605. 20854v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We study a stochastic bandit algorithm motivated by retry-aware objectives that value the best outcome among multiple attempts, such as pass@$k$ and max@$k$.
The paper investigates stochastic contextual bandits in an agnostic setting, aiming to compete with the best policy in a given class without assuming realizability or specific loss/reward models. It introduces an algorithm that updates the policy each round by minimizing a pessimistic objective— a clipped inverse‑propensity estimate of the policy value plus a variance penalty— and proves the first fast regret rates relative to the best‑in‑class policy. By exploiting entropy assumptions on the policy class and a H"olderian error‑bound condition, the authors achieve fast best‑in‑class regret rates, including polylogarithmic rates in the parametric case, using a sequential self‑normalized maximal inequality for bounded martingale empirical processes to derive uniform variance‑adaptive confidence bounds and ensure pessimism under adaptive data collection.
arXiv:2606. 27448v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper studies the problem of regret minimization in Markovian bandits with \emph{non-observable states} and possibly \emph{constrained} decision epochs.
arXiv:2606. 01655v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The Bayesian paradigm offers principled tools for sequential decision-making under uncertainty, but its reliance on a probabilistic model for all parameters can hinder the incorporation of complex structural constraints.
The paper introduces a new approach to safety in contextual bandits with continuous actions, focusing on high‑probability constraints on the realized cost rather than expected cost. It presents the High‑Probability Constrained UCB algorithm, which balances reward exploration with conservative safety estimation, and provides theoretical regret guarantees for linear models and extensions to general function classes. Experiments demonstrate that this realized‑cost safety framework significantly reduces safety violations compared to expected‑cost constrained methods.
arXiv:2605. 09454v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We study the $\textit{single-index bandit}$ problem, where rewards depend on an unknown one-dimensional projection of high-dimensional contexts through an unknown reward function.
The paper introduces a new approach to safety in contextual bandits with continuous actions by enforcing high‑probability constraints on the realized cost rather than on its expectation. It proposes the High‑Probability Constrained UCB algorithm, which balances optimistic reward exploration with pessimistic safety estimation. The authors provide theoretical regret guarantees for linear models and extend the analysis to general function classes, demonstrating experimentally that realized‑cost constraints significantly reduce safety violations compared to expected‑cost baselines.
The paper analyzes Bayesian linear bandits with isotropic Gaussian parameters, independent Gaussian arms, and Gaussian reward noise when the time horizon scales with the dimension. It derives explicit limits for the normalized posterior uncertainty and parameter overlaps, yielding exact regret curves for several policies—including Thompson sampling, posterior‑mean greedy selection, and scaled‑covariance variants. The results show that posterior‑mean greedy selection achieves the optimal Bayes regret, while Thompson sampling incurs a strictly larger leading regret whose ratio to greedy lies between one and two, approaching two for long horizons.
arXiv:2605. 14953v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We address the problem of conformal selection, where an agent must select a minimal subset of options to ensure that at least one ``success'' is identified with a pre-specified target probability $\phi$.
arXiv:2604. 08149v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We consider a linear contextual bandit model where contexts and rewards are governed by a finite hidden Markov chain.