arXiv AI

Plausible Patients, Impossible Populations: Auditing Epidemiological Fidelity in Large Language Model Mental Health Simulations

arXiv:2604. 17359v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Language models asked to simulate psychiatric patients produce cases that survive inspection one at a time and populations that match no real one.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 4

Counterfactual Fairness Audits of Multi-Step Clinical LLM Agents Require a Measured Per-Action Instability Floor

The paper reports that counterfactual fairness audits of clinical language‑model agents are unreliable without accounting for a per‑action instability floor. By repeatedly running identical vignettes, the authors found that actions changed 8.7% of the time, with instability varying eightfold across actions. A second model confirmed a pooled floor of 6.7%, showing that any reported fairness estimate lacking this floor cannot be interpreted as evidence of disparity.

By Rohith Reddy Bellibaltu, Manpreet Singh, Deepak Parashar, Rahul Joshi
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 19

Readable, Faithful, Used: Three Dissociable Properties of Demographic Identity in a Language Model

The study investigates how demographic identity is represented in a language model, using representational similarity analysis against Pew survey data across 169 demographic cells. It finds that standard last‑token read‑outs underestimate the model’s fidelity, while specific attention heads (notably L11 H16) capture demographic structure more accurately, though race‑based types remain weak. Causal interventions reveal that high fidelity does not guarantee causal use, and a 128‑dimensional probe of a single head improves alignment with survey truth but fails to recover per‑question group ordering.

arXiv AI
2d ago

Counterfactual Auditing of Bias in Open-Source Large Language Models for Clinical Triage

The study evaluates counterfactual bias in ten open‑source large language models (LLMs) for pediatric Emergency Severity Index (ESI) prediction. By creating paired clinical vignettes that differ only in demographic or socioeconomic variables, the authors measure shifts in acuity assignment, finding that counterfactual sensitivity varies widely across model families and sizes. A fine‑tuned Qwen2.5‑7B model exhibited the lowest sensitivity, while larger or medical‑domain models sometimes showed greater shifts, highlighting the need for fairness assessment before clinical deployment.

By Manar Aljohani, Brandon Ho, Kenneth McKinley, Dennis Ren, Xuan Wang
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 22

LLMs Anchor on Chief Complaint and Fail to Integrate Evidence in Sequential Clinical Triage

The study evaluates large language models (LLMs) on sequential emergency department triage, where acuity labels are predicted from progressively longer nurse‑patient conversations. Six LLMs were tested at five checkpoints on simulated and physician‑authored dialogues, showing a decline from moderate‑to‑substantial agreement on full records to only fair‑to‑moderate agreement at each checkpoint. The models consistently anchor on chief complaint exchanges and fail to integrate later evidence, yielding low agreement with clinicians (QWK 0.295 vs. 0.887‑0.929) and concentrating predictions on ESI‑2 and ESI‑3. whyItMatters":"The findings reveal that LLMs, despite strong offline performance, cannot reliably handle the sequential nature of real‑time triage, highlighting a critical gap for safe deployment in emergency settings."

By Dipankar Srirag, Haokai Zhao, Ashutosh Kumar, Eleanor Hopper, Michael Dalton, Quoc Dung Nguyen, Aditya Joshi, Salil S. Kanhere, Padmanesan Narasimhan